Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroCan
Africa · AfroCan - Semi-finals
KenyaHOME · -
61 : 592023.07.14 · 종료
NigeriaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.1%
VALUE EDGE+76.1%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
KenyaAnalysis MetricsNigeria
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-9.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
121.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.42
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kenya
L · 46-55L · 66-63W · 62-52L · 60-58W · 72-66
Nigeria
L · 74-72W · 71-55L · 48-57W · 56-62L · 68-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.14 | Kenya | 61 : 59 | Nigeria |
| 2021.08.27 | Kenya | 55 : 71 | Nigeria |