Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroCan
Africa · AfroCan - Quarter-finals
D.R. CongoHOME · -
74 : 722023.07.13 · 종료
NigeriaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
D.R. CongoAnalysis MetricsNigeria
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-6.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
142.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
D.R. Congo
W · 58-77W · 70-63L · 58-73W · 66-70L · 82-68
Nigeria
W · 71-55L · 48-57W · 56-62L · 68-80L · 68-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.13 | D.R. Congo | 74 : 72 | Nigeria |
| 2017.09.10 | Nigeria | 77 : 83 | D.R. Congo |