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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

AfroCan Africa
NigeriaHOME · -
71 : 552023.07.12 · 종료
GabonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.2%
VALUE EDGE+81.2%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
NigeriaAnalysis MetricsGabon
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -16.17
153.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.50
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nigeria
L · 48-57W · 56-62L · 68-80L · 68-77W · 55-71
Gabon
W · 66-63L · 66-52L · 94-82L · 84-76L · 64-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.12Nigeria71 : 55Gabon
2015.08.27Gabon64 : 88Nigeria