Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroCan
Africa
MaliHOME · -
56 : 622023.07.09 · 종료
NigeriaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+83.6%
VALUE EDGE+83.6%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
MaliAnalysis MetricsNigeria
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
148.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mali
L · 72-55L · 72-66L · 67-90L · 81-73W · 92-63
Nigeria
L · 68-80L · 68-77W · 55-71W · 81-73L · 65-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.09 | Mali | 56 : 62 | Nigeria |
| 2021.08.25 | Nigeria | 81 : 73 | Mali |
| 2017.09.10 | Mali | 67 : 90 | Nigeria |
| 2013.08.22 | Nigeria | 74 : 59 | Mali |