경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Division Intermedia Paraguay · Regular Season - 24

Atlético TembetaryHOME · 2.05

1 : 22026.09.16 · 종료

Sportivo CarapeguáAWAY · 3.00

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 30 · 23경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 31 · 23경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.9%

DRAW22.2%

AWAY25.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +8.3%

VALUE EDGE+8.3%

FAIR ODDS1.93

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 85/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -2.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +9.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -1.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Atlético Tembetary분석 지표Sportivo Carapeguá

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

57.1% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

4.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.1 / 15

예측 분리도11.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승44.4%표본 162경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.2%현재 이동 -7.5%

OPEN → NOW2.21 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:31

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

51.9%

DRAW

22.2%

AWAY

25.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Atlético Tembetary

D · 1-1L · 0-2W · 2-1L · 3-0W · 2-3

Sportivo Carapeguá

W · 2-0L · 2-3W · 0-1L · 1-3L · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.21

→

CURRENT2.05

-7.58%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.44

→

CURRENT3.34

-3.00%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.73

→

CURRENT2.97

+8.54%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:12:25	2.21	3.44	2.73
2026-09-15 11:22:28	2.21	3.44	2.73
2026-09-15 11:32:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 11:42:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 11:52:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 12:02:27	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 12:12:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 12:22:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 12:32:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 12:42:24	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 12:52:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 13:02:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 13:12:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 13:22:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 13:32:27	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 13:42:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 13:52:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 14:02:24	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 14:12:24	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 14:22:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 14:32:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 14:42:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 14:52:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 15:02:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 15:12:24	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 15:22:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 15:32:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 15:42:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 15:52:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 16:02:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 16:12:24	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 16:22:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 16:32:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 16:42:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 16:52:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 17:02:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 17:12:26	2.20	3.40	2.70
2026-09-15 17:12:27	2.23	3.45	2.72
2026-09-15 17:22:27	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 17:22:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 17:32:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 17:42:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 17:52:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 18:02:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 18:12:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 18:22:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 18:32:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 18:42:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 18:52:29	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 19:02:27	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 19:12:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 19:22:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 19:32:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 19:42:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 19:52:28	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 20:02:26	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 20:12:25	2.23	3.44	2.72
2026-09-15 20:22:28	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 20:32:27	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 20:42:26	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 20:52:29	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 21:02:28	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 21:12:25	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 21:22:28	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 21:32:25	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 21:42:26	2.00	3.50	3.00
2026-09-15 21:42:27	2.04	3.37	2.95
2026-09-15 21:52:30	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 22:02:28	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 22:12:27	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 22:22:32	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 22:32:28	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 22:42:26	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 22:52:29	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 23:02:28	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 23:12:31	2.04	3.38	2.95
2026-09-15 23:22:30	2.05	3.34	2.97
2026-09-15 23:32:27	2.05	3.34	2.97
2026-09-15 23:42:28	2.05	3.34	2.97
2026-09-15 23:52:31	2.05	3.34	2.97

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Atlético Tembetary	1 : 2	Sportivo Carapeguá
2026.05.26	Sportivo Carapeguá	1 : 0	Atlético Tembetary