경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

EFL Trophy England · Group South - 5

Swindon TownHOME · 1.65

1 : 22026.09.16 · 종료

Crystal Palace U21AWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.0%

DRAW18.1%

AWAY11.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK HOME 51.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +14.6%

VALUE EDGE+14.6%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +34.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +32.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -49.2%p

MARKET HOME +33.6%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Swindon Town분석 지표Crystal Palace U21

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 13.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승55.1%표본 118경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -0.6%

OPEN → NOW1.66 → 1.65배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

70.0%

DRAW

18.1%

AWAY

11.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Swindon Town

L · 4-0W · 3-1W · 3-1W · 2-1D · 0-0

Crystal Palace U21

W · 2-1W · 0-2D · 1-1L · 5-0L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.63

→

CURRENT1.64

+1.05%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.99

→

CURRENT3.96

-0.75%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.29

→

CURRENT4.13

-3.69%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:42:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 11:52:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 12:02:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 12:12:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 12:22:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 12:32:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 12:42:13	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 12:52:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 13:02:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 13:12:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 13:22:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 13:32:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 13:42:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 13:52:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 14:02:13	1.64	3.98	4.23
2026-09-15 14:02:14	1.57	4.05	4.66
2026-09-15 14:12:13	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 14:22:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 14:32:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 14:42:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 14:52:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 15:02:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 15:12:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 15:22:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 15:32:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 15:42:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 15:52:15	1.64	3.98	4.23
2026-09-15 15:52:16	1.57	4.05	4.66
2026-09-15 16:02:13	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 16:12:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 16:22:17	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 16:32:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 16:42:14	1.64	3.98	4.23
2026-09-15 16:42:15	1.57	4.05	4.66
2026-09-15 16:52:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:02:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:12:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:22:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:32:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:42:15	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:52:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:02:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:12:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:22:16	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:32:14	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:42:14	1.66	3.89	4.10
2026-09-15 18:42:15	1.59	4.16	4.52
2026-09-15 18:52:16	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 19:02:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 19:12:14	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 19:22:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 19:32:14	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 19:42:14	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 19:52:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 20:02:14	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 20:12:13	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 20:22:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 20:32:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 20:42:14	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 20:52:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 21:02:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 21:12:13	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 21:22:15	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 21:32:14	1.63	4.00	4.28
2026-09-15 21:42:15	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 21:52:17	1.64	3.88	4.03
2026-09-15 21:52:18	1.65	4.02	4.21
2026-09-15 22:02:16	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 22:12:15	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 22:22:19	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 22:32:15	1.64	3.93	4.10
2026-09-15 22:32:16	1.66	4.04	4.22
2026-09-15 22:42:15	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 22:52:16	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 23:02:15	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 23:12:19	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 23:22:15	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 23:32:14	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 23:42:15	1.64	3.96	4.13
2026-09-15 23:52:16	1.64	3.96	4.13

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Swindon Town	1 : 2	Crystal Palace U21