경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

EFL Trophy England · Group North - 4

ChesterfieldHOME · 2.10

5 : 32026.09.16 · 종료

Manchester City U21AWAY · 2.80

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME15.2%

DRAW21.5%

AWAY63.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 69/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +30.9%

VALUE EDGE+30.9%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -29.6%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -25.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -54.2%p

MARKET HOME +10.8%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Chesterfield분석 지표Manchester City U21

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.83

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

69/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지13.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도5.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승44.3%표본 158경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.7%현재 이동 -4.1%

OPEN → NOW2.19 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

15.2%

DRAW

21.5%

AWAY

63.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Chesterfield

W · 1-2D · 3-3D · 1-1L · 2-1W · 0-1

Manchester City U21

L · 2-1W · 4-0W · 1-4L · 3-4W · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.12

→

CURRENT2.10

-1.34%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.65

→

CURRENT3.71

+1.76%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.79

→

CURRENT2.80

+0.36%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:12:13	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 11:22:15	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 11:32:14	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 11:42:13	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 11:52:14	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 12:02:14	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 12:12:14	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 12:22:15	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 12:32:14	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 12:42:12	2.12	3.65	2.79
2026-09-15 12:52:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 13:02:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 13:12:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 13:22:15	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 13:32:14	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 13:42:13	2.11	3.68	2.75
2026-09-15 13:42:14	2.14	3.66	2.88
2026-09-15 13:52:14	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 14:02:12	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 14:12:12	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 14:22:15	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 14:32:14	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 14:42:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 14:52:15	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 15:02:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 15:12:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 15:22:14	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 15:32:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 15:42:13	2.12	3.67	2.79
2026-09-15 15:42:14	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 15:52:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 16:02:13	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 16:12:14	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 16:22:17	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 16:32:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 16:42:14	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 16:52:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 17:02:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 17:12:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 17:22:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 17:32:15	2.08	3.65	2.75
2026-09-15 17:32:16	2.10	3.69	2.83
2026-09-15 17:42:15	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 17:52:16	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 18:02:16	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 18:12:13	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 18:22:16	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 18:32:14	2.10	3.68	2.81
2026-09-15 18:42:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 18:52:16	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 19:02:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 19:12:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 19:22:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 19:32:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 19:42:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 19:52:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 20:02:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 20:12:13	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 20:22:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 20:32:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 20:42:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 20:52:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 21:02:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 21:12:13	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 21:22:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 21:32:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 21:42:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 21:52:17	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 22:02:16	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 22:12:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 22:22:19	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 22:32:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 22:42:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 22:52:16	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 23:02:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 23:12:19	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 23:22:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 23:32:14	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 23:42:15	2.10	3.71	2.80
2026-09-15 23:52:16	2.10	3.71	2.80

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Chesterfield	5 : 3	Manchester City U21