경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

AFC Champions League Elite World · League Phase - 1

Daejeon CitizenHOME · 1.94

1 : 02026.09.15 · 종료

Kyoto SangaAWAY · 3.50

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 0 · 0경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 0 · 0경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.9%

DRAW23.7%

AWAY20.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 82/100

AI PICK HOME 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +8.2%

VALUE EDGE+8.2%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 86/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +26.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -0.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Daejeon Citizen분석 지표Kyoto Sanga

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지16.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도13.4 / 15

예측 분리도13.8 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME47.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승46.2%표본 156경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -5.4%

OPEN → NOW2.05 → 1.94배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:26

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

55.9%

DRAW

23.7%

AWAY

20.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Daejeon Citizen

D · 2-2W · 3-2W · 0-5L · 3-1W · 2-1

Kyoto Sanga

L · 2-3L · 2-0D · 1-1W · 2-1W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.12

→

CURRENT1.93

-8.97%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.30

→

CURRENT3.56

+8.06%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.24

→

CURRENT3.50

+8.01%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 10:32:23	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 10:42:21	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 10:52:26	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 11:02:22	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 11:12:21	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 11:22:24	2.12	3.31	3.27
2026-09-15 11:22:25	2.11	3.27	3.20
2026-09-15 11:32:23	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 11:42:21	2.09	3.31	3.24
2026-09-15 11:42:22	2.14	3.29	3.25
2026-09-15 11:52:26	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 12:02:23	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 12:12:22	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 12:22:24	2.09	3.31	3.24
2026-09-15 12:22:25	2.14	3.29	3.25
2026-09-15 12:32:22	2.12	3.30	3.24
2026-09-15 12:42:21	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 12:52:22	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 13:02:22	2.08	3.29	3.28
2026-09-15 13:02:23	2.14	3.40	3.32
2026-09-15 13:12:22	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 13:22:26	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 13:32:24	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 13:42:22	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 13:52:24	2.08	3.31	3.26
2026-09-15 13:52:25	2.10	3.31	3.31
2026-09-15 14:02:21	2.08	3.31	3.31
2026-09-15 14:02:22	2.15	3.35	3.15
2026-09-15 14:12:21	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 14:22:24	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 14:32:23	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 14:42:22	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 14:52:25	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 15:02:22	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 15:12:21	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 15:22:24	2.15	3.20	3.25
2026-09-15 15:22:25	2.08	3.33	3.30
2026-09-15 15:32:22	2.09	3.31	3.29
2026-09-15 17:32:25	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 17:42:23	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 17:52:25	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 18:02:24	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 18:12:22	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 18:22:26	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 18:32:23	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 18:42:23	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 18:52:26	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 19:02:24	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 19:12:22	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 19:22:25	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 19:32:23	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 19:42:22	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 19:52:25	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 20:02:23	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 20:12:22	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 20:22:24	2.08	3.32	3.28
2026-09-15 20:32:23	1.94	3.56	3.44
2026-09-15 20:32:24	1.92	3.57	3.59
2026-09-15 20:42:23	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 20:52:25	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 21:02:24	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 21:12:22	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 21:22:24	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 21:32:22	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 21:42:23	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 21:52:26	1.95	3.40	3.40
2026-09-15 21:52:27	1.93	3.58	3.52
2026-09-15 22:02:24	1.95	3.40	3.40
2026-09-15 22:02:25	1.93	3.58	3.52
2026-09-15 22:12:23	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 22:22:29	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 22:32:24	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 22:42:23	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 22:52:25	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 23:02:24	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 23:12:27	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 23:22:24	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 23:32:23	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 23:42:23	1.93	3.56	3.50
2026-09-15 23:52:26	1.93	3.56	3.50

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Daejeon Citizen	1 : 0	Kyoto Sanga