경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Australia Cup Australia · Semi-finals

South MelbourneHOME · 1.72

3 : 12026.09.15 · 종료

LionsAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.5%

DRAW21.2%

AWAY46.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK AWAY 39.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +24.5%

VALUE EDGE+24.5%

FAIR ODDS2.16

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 80/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -23.5%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -25.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.9%p

MARKET HOME +31.5%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -16.7%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

South Melbourne분석 지표Lions

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 83.3%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.00

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.50

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.0 / 15

예측 분리도6.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME53.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승51.3%표본 152경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승40.1%현재 이동 +7.8%

OPEN → NOW1.60 → 1.72배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:30

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

32.5%

DRAW

21.2%

AWAY

46.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

South Melbourne

L · 2-1W · 2-1L · 1-0W · 1-2L · 1-2

Lions

W · 1-0W · 4-1W · 4-0W · 0-2W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.59

→

CURRENT1.72

+7.67%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.07

→

CURRENT3.77

-7.43%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.52

→

CURRENT4.17

-7.80%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 12:02:26	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 12:12:25	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 12:22:27	1.60	4.05	4.56
2026-09-15 12:22:28	1.59	4.08	4.49
2026-09-15 12:32:24	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 12:42:23	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 12:52:25	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 13:02:25	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 13:12:24	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 13:22:28	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 13:32:26	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 13:42:24	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 13:52:28	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 14:02:24	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 14:12:24	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 14:22:27	1.59	4.07	4.52
2026-09-15 14:32:26	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 14:42:25	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 14:52:28	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 15:02:24	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 15:12:24	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 15:22:27	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 15:32:25	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 15:42:24	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 15:52:27	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 16:02:24	1.65	3.98	4.32
2026-09-15 16:02:25	1.61	4.04	4.34
2026-09-15 16:12:24	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 16:22:28	1.62	4.01	4.33
2026-09-15 16:22:29	1.67	4.15	4.40
2026-09-15 16:32:25	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 16:42:25	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 16:52:28	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 17:02:25	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 17:12:26	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 17:22:26	1.63	4.02	4.33
2026-09-15 17:32:26	1.62	4.01	4.31
2026-09-15 17:32:27	1.75	3.85	4.15
2026-09-15 17:42:25	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 17:52:27	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:02:26	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:12:24	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:22:28	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:32:25	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:42:25	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 18:52:28	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 19:02:26	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 19:12:24	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 19:22:27	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 19:32:25	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 19:42:24	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 19:52:27	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 20:02:24	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 20:12:24	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 20:22:26	1.63	3.99	4.29
2026-09-15 20:32:25	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 20:42:25	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 20:52:27	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 21:02:26	1.71	3.76	4.16
2026-09-15 21:02:27	1.75	3.85	4.20
2026-09-15 21:12:23	1.71	3.76	4.16
2026-09-15 21:12:24	1.75	3.85	4.20
2026-09-15 21:22:26	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 21:32:24	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 21:42:25	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 21:52:29	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 22:02:27	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 22:12:25	1.71	3.74	4.20
2026-09-15 22:12:26	1.73	3.81	4.13
2026-09-15 22:22:31	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 22:32:26	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 22:42:25	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 22:52:27	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:02:26	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:12:29	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:22:26	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:22:28	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:32:26	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:42:27	1.72	3.77	4.17
2026-09-15 23:52:30	1.72	3.77	4.17

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	South Melbourne	3 : 1	Lions