Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroBasket Women
Africa · AfroBasket Women - Semi-finals
Senegal WHOME · -
75 : 652023.08.04 · 종료
Mali WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Senegal WAnalysis MetricsMali W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.58
135.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
1.4일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Senegal W
W · 77-80W · 60-71L · 49-72L · 85-83L · 53-49
Mali W
W · 96-40W · 49-72W · 80-66L · 59-70W · 51-52
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.08.04 | Senegal W | 75 : 65 | Mali W |
| 2023.07.31 | Senegal W | 49 : 72 | Mali W |