Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroBasket Women
Africa · AfroBasket Women - Semi-finals
Rwanda WHOME · -
48 : 792023.08.04 · 종료
Nigeria WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
72/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.4%
VALUE EDGE+65.4%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
Rwanda WAnalysis MetricsNigeria W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-18.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.42
124.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
139.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage14.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample8.3 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation13.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.2 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rwanda W
W · 66-61W · 64-35
Nigeria W
W · 59-52W · 65-83W · 69-35W · 59-70W · 73-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.07.26 | Nigeria W | 92 : 45 | Rwanda W |
| 2023.08.04 | Rwanda W | 48 : 79 | Nigeria W |