Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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AfroBasket Women Africa · AfroBasket Women - Quarter-finals

Nigeria WHOME · -

59 : 522023.08.03 · 종료

Mozambique WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY16.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.4%

VALUE EDGE+83.4%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADEB

Nigeria WAnalysis MetricsMozambique W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +13.83

140.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.67

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

3.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

16.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nigeria W

W · 65-83W · 69-35W · 59-70W · 73-63W · 72-56

Mozambique W

W · 70-48W · 99-40L · 55-53W · 62-69W · 57-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.07.29	Mozambique W	55 : 60	Nigeria W
2023.08.03	Nigeria W	59 : 52	Mozambique W
2021.09.19	Nigeria W	67 : 50	Mozambique W