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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

AfroBasket Women Africa · AfroBasket Women - Quarter-finals
Rwanda WHOME · -
66 : 612023.08.03 · 종료
Uganda WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW55 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 63/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.3%
VALUE EDGE+79.3%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEC
Rwanda WAnalysis MetricsUganda W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 44.4%
-24.50 Point MarginHigher is better +3.33
124.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.56
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

55/100 LOW
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form9.4 / 10
Historical sample6.3 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rwanda W
W · 64-35
Uganda W
W · 78-62W · 85-83L · 80-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.03Rwanda W66 : 61Uganda W