Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroBasket Women
Africa · AfroBasket Women - Quarter-finals
Mali WHOME · -
96 : 402023.08.02 · 종료
Guinea WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
83/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Mali WAnalysis MetricsGuinea W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
9.1%
+4.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-39.36
142.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
133.55
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage16.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample9.6 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mali W
W · 49-72W · 80-66L · 59-70W · 51-52W · 74-53
Guinea W
W · 69-71L · 50-70L · 99-40L · 81-50L · 58-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.08.02 | Mali W | 96 : 40 | Guinea W |