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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

AfroBasket Women Africa
Egypt WHOME · -
65 : 832023.07.30 · 종료
Nigeria WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 83/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Egypt WAnalysis MetricsNigeria W
45.5% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+5.91 Point MarginHigher is better +9.50
139.91 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.67
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage16.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample9.6 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Egypt W
W · 78-89L · 62-69W · 82-76L · 67-61W · 85-36
Nigeria W
W · 69-35W · 59-70W · 73-63W · 72-56W · 65-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.30Egypt W65 : 83Nigeria W