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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

AfroBasket Women Africa
Mali WHOME · -
80 : 662023.07.28 · 종료
Uganda WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 78/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEB
Mali WAnalysis MetricsUganda W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 44.4%
+6.83 Point MarginHigher is better +4.33
143.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.44
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample8.8 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mali W
L · 59-70W · 51-52W · 74-53W · 63-76W · 101-39
Uganda W
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.28Mali W80 : 66Uganda W