Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroBasket
Africa · 3
Cape VerdeHOME · -
78 : 622024.02.26 · 종료
NigeriaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Cape VerdeAnalysis MetricsNigeria
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.67
146.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.50
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cape Verde
W · 68-72W · 78-73L · 86-73L · 65-75W · 79-71
Nigeria
L · 72-62L · 69-72L · 61-59L · 74-72W · 71-55
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.30 | Nigeria | 100 : 84 | Cape Verde |
| 2025.02.24 | Nigeria | 77 : 62 | Cape Verde |
| 2024.02.26 | Cape Verde | 78 : 62 | Nigeria |
| 2013.08.29 | Cape Verde | 79 : 76 | Nigeria |