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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

AfroBasket Africa · 3
GuineaHOME · -
74 : 802024.02.25 · 종료
KenyaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.5%
VALUE EDGE+52.5%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
GuineaAnalysis MetricsKenya
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+0.75 Point MarginHigher is better -9.75
141.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 118.25
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Guinea
L · 76-70L · 98-50W · 68-72W · 78-86L · 60-61
Kenya
L · 58-88L · 90-69L · 59-67W · 61-59L · 46-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.23Kenya44 : 57Guinea
2024.02.25Guinea74 : 80Kenya