Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
AfroBasket
Africa · 2
UgandaHOME · -
72 : 622024.02.24 · 종료
NigeriaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+77.4%
VALUE EDGE+77.4%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
UgandaAnalysis MetricsNigeria
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
145.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Uganda
L · 78-73L · 79-71W · 68-80L · 88-86W · 80-66
Nigeria
L · 69-72L · 61-59L · 74-72W · 71-55L · 48-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.23 | Nigeria | 87 : 67 | Uganda |
| 2024.02.24 | Uganda | 72 : 62 | Nigeria |
| 2021.08.31 | Nigeria | 68 : 80 | Uganda |
| 2015.08.22 | Uganda | 59 : 98 | Nigeria |