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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

African Championship U16 Africa
Guinea U16HOME · -
82 : 642023.07.17 · 종료
Chad U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.2%
VALUE EDGE+69.2%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Guinea U16Analysis MetricsChad U16
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+16.75 Point MarginHigher is better -8.50
134.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 139.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Guinea U16
W · 78-83W · 62-95L · 53-54L · 71-67W · 54-77
Chad U16
L · 90-86W · 91-70L · 50-65L · 70-40L · 61-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.17Guinea U1682 : 64Chad U16