경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Division Intermedia Paraguay · Regular Season - 24

Independiente F.b.c.HOME · 2.05

1 : 02026.09.15 · 종료

EncarnaciónAWAY · 3.24

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 31 · 23경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 19 · 23경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.2%

DRAW40.1%

AWAY26.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK DRAW 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +11.8%

VALUE EDGE+11.8%

FAIR ODDS2.50

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 75/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN +1.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +7.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +27.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Independiente F.b.c.분석 지표Encarnación

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.83

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

5.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.4일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.0 / 15

예측 분리도2.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승48.7%표본 238경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승57.1%표본 7경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.0%현재 이동 +1.5%

OPEN → NOW2.02 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:26

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

33.2%

DRAW

40.1%

AWAY

26.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Independiente F.b.c.

W · 1-2D · 0-0L · 5-2D · 0-0W · 1-2

Encarnación

D · 1-1W · 0-2L · 1-3W · 1-3L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.01

→

CURRENT2.05

+2.03%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.22

→

CURRENT3.13

-2.81%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.32

→

CURRENT3.20

-3.64%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 12:33:45	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 12:42:23	2.00	3.16	3.29
2026-09-14 12:42:24	2.01	3.28	3.36
2026-09-14 12:52:44	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 13:02:52	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 13:12:37	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 13:23:08	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 13:33:13	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 13:42:25	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 13:52:44	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 14:02:48	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 14:12:25	2.01	3.22	3.32
2026-09-14 14:22:50	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 14:33:05	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 14:42:45	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 14:53:13	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 15:03:13	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 15:12:22	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 15:22:54	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 15:33:13	2.01	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 15:33:14	2.12	3.20	3.30
2026-09-14 15:42:29	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 15:53:00	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 16:03:07	2.01	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 16:03:08	2.12	3.20	3.30
2026-09-14 16:12:22	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 16:23:05	2.03	3.13	3.30
2026-09-14 16:23:06	2.03	3.25	3.31
2026-09-14 16:33:04	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 16:42:22	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 16:52:48	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 17:02:50	2.03	3.21	3.31
2026-09-14 17:12:42	2.10	3.00	3.30
2026-09-14 17:12:43	2.02	3.25	3.31
2026-09-14 17:22:58	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 17:33:27	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 17:42:25	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 17:52:45	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 18:03:14	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 18:12:42	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 18:23:25	2.10	3.10	3.20
2026-09-14 18:23:26	2.06	3.22	3.28
2026-09-14 18:34:24	2.10	3.00	3.30
2026-09-14 18:34:25	2.07	3.21	3.24
2026-09-14 18:42:23	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 18:52:58	2.10	3.10	3.20
2026-09-14 18:52:59	2.06	3.22	3.28
2026-09-14 19:03:11	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 19:12:43	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 19:23:36	2.08	3.13	3.22
2026-09-14 19:23:37	2.07	3.22	3.28
2026-09-14 19:34:02	2.08	3.13	3.22
2026-09-14 19:34:03	2.07	3.22	3.28
2026-09-14 19:42:23	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 19:52:25	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 20:02:21	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 20:12:22	2.08	3.18	3.25
2026-09-14 20:22:24	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 20:32:24	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 20:42:23	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 20:52:25	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 21:02:22	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 21:12:22	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 21:22:23	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 21:32:23	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 21:42:22	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 21:52:25	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 22:02:22	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 22:12:25	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 22:22:45	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 22:32:23	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 22:42:22	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 22:52:26	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 23:02:22	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 23:12:23	2.13	3.10	3.16
2026-09-14 23:22:25	2.15	2.90	3.30
2026-09-14 23:22:26	2.03	3.16	3.19
2026-09-14 23:32:23	2.05	3.13	3.20
2026-09-14 23:42:23	2.05	3.13	3.20
2026-09-14 23:52:26	2.05	3.13	3.20

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Independiente F.b.c.	1 : 0	Encarnación
2026.05.24	Encarnación	2 : 3	Independiente F.b.c.