경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

AFC Champions League Elite World · League Phase - 1

Esteghlal FCHOME · 3.80

3 : 02026.09.15 · 종료

Al SaddAWAY · 1.93

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 0 · 0경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 0 · 0경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.1%

DRAW7.7%

AWAY7.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 74/100

AI PICK HOME 62.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.5%

VALUE EDGE+60.5%

FAIR ODDS1.18

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +8.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +11.9%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -0.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.2%p

MARKET AWAY -23.9%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Esteghlal FC분석 지표Al Sadd

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 3.17

0.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 71.4%

4.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

74/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도3.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME24.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승24.4%표본 41경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.2%현재 이동 +5.6%

OPEN → NOW3.60 → 3.80배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:26

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

85.1%

DRAW

7.7%

AWAY

7.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Esteghlal FC

W · 1-0D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 0-0W · 2-0

Al Sadd

W · 3-6W · 4-1W · 2-1W · 2-6W · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.59

→

CURRENT3.74

+4.29%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.33

→

CURRENT3.38

+1.50%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.95

→

CURRENT1.94

-0.45%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 12:22:55	3.59	3.33	1.95
2026-09-14 12:22:56	3.60	3.33	1.99
2026-09-14 12:33:41	3.64	3.37	1.94
2026-09-14 12:33:42	3.50	3.25	2.01
2026-09-14 12:42:22	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 12:52:42	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 13:02:49	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 13:12:35	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 13:23:03	3.55	3.33	1.95
2026-09-14 13:23:04	3.62	3.32	1.98
2026-09-14 13:33:09	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 13:42:24	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 13:52:42	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 14:02:46	3.58	3.29	1.96
2026-09-14 14:02:47	3.64	3.44	2.01
2026-09-14 14:12:24	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 14:22:47	3.60	3.25	1.95
2026-09-14 14:22:48	3.59	3.34	1.97
2026-09-14 14:33:02	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 14:42:43	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 14:53:10	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 15:03:10	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 15:12:21	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 15:22:52	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 15:33:10	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 15:42:28	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 15:52:57	3.59	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 16:03:04	3.55	3.33	1.95
2026-09-14 16:03:05	3.62	3.32	1.98
2026-09-14 16:12:20	3.58	3.35	1.95
2026-09-14 16:12:21	3.64	3.32	1.98
2026-09-14 16:23:01	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 16:33:02	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 16:42:21	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 16:52:45	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 17:02:49	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 17:12:40	3.70	3.30	1.95
2026-09-14 17:12:41	3.60	3.34	1.97
2026-09-14 17:22:56	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 17:33:24	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 17:42:24	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 17:52:43	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 18:03:10	3.62	3.34	1.95
2026-09-14 18:03:11	3.61	3.33	1.99
2026-09-14 18:12:39	3.70	3.30	1.95
2026-09-14 18:12:40	3.60	3.34	1.97
2026-09-14 18:23:20	3.58	3.35	1.95
2026-09-14 18:23:21	3.64	3.32	1.98
2026-09-14 18:34:18	3.58	3.35	1.95
2026-09-14 18:34:19	3.64	3.32	1.98
2026-09-14 18:42:22	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 18:52:56	3.62	3.33	1.97
2026-09-14 19:03:06	3.60	3.30	1.96
2026-09-14 19:03:07	3.66	3.45	2.00
2026-09-14 19:12:41	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 19:23:33	3.76	3.32	1.91
2026-09-14 19:23:34	3.86	3.47	1.95
2026-09-14 19:33:59	3.80	3.39	1.89
2026-09-14 19:34:00	3.78	3.33	1.95
2026-09-14 19:42:22	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 19:52:23	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 20:02:20	3.80	3.39	1.89
2026-09-14 20:02:21	3.78	3.33	1.95
2026-09-14 20:12:21	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 20:22:23	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 20:32:23	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 20:42:22	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 20:52:23	3.70	3.33	1.88
2026-09-14 20:52:24	3.82	3.37	1.93
2026-09-14 21:02:21	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 21:12:21	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 21:22:22	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 21:32:22	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 21:42:21	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 21:52:24	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 22:02:21	3.79	3.36	1.92
2026-09-14 23:22:25	3.74	3.38	1.94
2026-09-14 23:32:23	3.74	3.38	1.94
2026-09-14 23:42:23	3.74	3.38	1.94
2026-09-14 23:52:26	3.74	3.38	1.94

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Esteghlal FC	3 : 0	Al Sadd