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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

African Championship Africa · African Championship - Semi-finals
MaliHOME · -
51 : 742015.08.28 · 종료
EgyptAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +76.4%
VALUE EDGE+76.4%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
MaliAnalysis MetricsEgypt
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.33
148.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.83
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
23.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
76.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mali
L · 67-60W · 57-76L · 49-55W · 54-78L · 56-70
Egypt
L · 63-83W · 102-62W · 49-55W · 83-77W · 96-49

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.12Mali59 : 74Egypt
2015.08.28Mali51 : 74Egypt
2015.08.24Mali49 : 55Egypt