Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
African Championship
Africa · African Championship - Quarter-finals
GabonHOME · -
64 : 882015.08.27 · 종료
NigeriaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME14.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+85.8%
VALUE EDGE+85.8%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
GabonAnalysis MetricsNigeria
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-15.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
147.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.42
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gabon
W · 67-77L · 93-67L · 54-78L · 96-49
Nigeria
W · 83-47L · 59-70W · 59-98W · 88-63W · 87-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.12 | Nigeria | 71 : 55 | Gabon |
| 2015.08.27 | Gabon | 64 : 88 | Nigeria |