LIVE 45 오늘 1,466경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Primera División Uruguay · Clausura - 6
ProgresoHOME · 2.35
1 : 32026.09.13 · 종료
CerroAWAY · 2.98
HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 12 · 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 14 · 9경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.7%
DRAW27.2%
AWAY29.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 86/100
AI PICK HOME 36.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +5.0%
VALUE EDGE+5.0%
FAIR ODDS2.29
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 70/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -4.9%p
HOME_AWAY EVEN +0.0%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.5%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST HOME +15.2%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Progreso분석 지표Cerro
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.75
1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42
40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
5.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.8일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.1 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도11.0 / 15
예측 분리도6.2 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승33.8%표본 133경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승42.1%현재 이동 +4.0%
OPEN → NOW2.26 → 2.35배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 20:54:29

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
43.7%
DRAW
27.2%
AWAY
29.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Progreso
W · 0-1L · 2-1L · 0-2L · 1-0L · 0-2
Cerro
L · 0-2W · 1-0D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 4-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%09/13 00:0209/13 05:0309/13 08:3309/13 14:0209/13 20:54HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 00:02:09HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 00:02:12HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-13 00:32:48HOME · 배당 2.26 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-13 00:32:49HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 +1.73% · 2026-09-13 00:32:50HOME · 배당 2.26 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-13 00:33:04HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.34% · 2026-09-13 00:33:05HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 01:02:24HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 01:32:36HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-13 02:02:20HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-13 02:02:21HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 03:03:08HOME · 배당 2.27 · 변동 -0.41% · 2026-09-13 03:33:04HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +4.15% · 2026-09-13 03:33:05HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 04:02:40HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 04:32:49HOME · 배당 2.27 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-09-13 05:03:21HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.63% · 2026-09-13 05:03:22HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 05:03:30HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 05:33:39HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 05:33:49HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 06:02:41HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-13 06:34:02HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-13 06:34:03HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-13 06:34:04HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.13% · 2026-09-13 06:34:05HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 07:02:19HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 07:02:20HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 07:33:29HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 07:33:31HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 08:02:49HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-13 08:02:50HOME · 배당 2.27 · 변동 -0.41% · 2026-09-13 08:33:22HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +4.15% · 2026-09-13 08:33:23HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 09:03:02HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 09:33:49HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 10:03:20HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 10:32:47HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 11:02:45HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-13 11:02:46HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-13 11:32:48HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.63% · 2026-09-13 12:02:52HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-09-13 12:33:42HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.34% · 2026-09-13 12:33:43HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.63% · 2026-09-13 13:02:39HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 13:32:59HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.58% · 2026-09-13 13:33:00HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.28% · 2026-09-13 14:02:41HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 14:02:42HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 14:33:14HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.58% · 2026-09-13 14:33:15HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-09-13 15:02:39HOME · 배당 2.27 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 15:33:03HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-09-13 15:33:04HOME · 배당 2.29 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-09-13 16:13:18HOME · 배당 2.27 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 16:54:04HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-09-13 16:54:05HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-13 17:34:30HOME · 배당 2.28 · 변동 +0.34% · 2026-09-13 17:34:31HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 +2.17% · 2026-09-13 18:13:53HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 +2.96% · 2026-09-13 18:13:54HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 +2.78% · 2026-09-13 18:54:39HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 +2.78% · 2026-09-13 19:34:26HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 +2.78% · 2026-09-13 20:13:22HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 +2.78% · 2026-09-13 20:54:29DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 00:02:09DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 00:02:12DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 00:32:48DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.39% · 2026-09-13 00:32:49DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.09% · 2026-09-13 00:32:50DRAW · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-13 00:33:04DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 00:33:05DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 01:02:24DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 01:32:36DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +1.10% · 2026-09-13 02:02:20DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.20% · 2026-09-13 02:02:21DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 03:03:08DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-09-13 03:33:04DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 03:33:05DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 04:02:40DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 04:32:49DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.06% · 2026-09-13 05:03:21DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.09% · 2026-09-13 05:03:22DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 05:03:30DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 05:33:39DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 05:33:49DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 06:02:41DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 06:34:02DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-09-13 06:34:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 06:34:04DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-09-13 06:34:05DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 07:02:19DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 07:02:20DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 07:33:29DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 07:33:31DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-13 08:02:49DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.01% · 2026-09-13 08:02:50DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-09-13 08:33:22DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 08:33:23DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 09:03:02DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 09:33:49DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 10:03:20DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 10:32:47DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-13 11:02:45DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.01% · 2026-09-13 11:02:46DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 11:32:48DRAW · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-13 12:02:52DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-09-13 12:33:42DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -2.76% · 2026-09-13 12:33:43DRAW · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-13 13:02:39DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-13 13:32:59DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-13 13:33:00DRAW · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.28% · 2026-09-13 14:02:41DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-13 14:02:42DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-13 14:33:14DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-13 14:33:15DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-09-13 15:02:39DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-09-13 15:33:03DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-09-13 15:33:04DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-09-13 16:13:18DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-09-13 16:54:04DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-09-13 16:54:05DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.20% · 2026-09-13 17:34:30DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -2.76% · 2026-09-13 17:34:31DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -2.76% · 2026-09-13 18:13:53DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-13 18:13:54DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-13 18:54:39DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-13 19:34:26DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-13 20:13:22DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-13 20:54:29AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 00:02:09AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 00:02:12AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 00:32:48AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-13 00:32:49AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-13 00:32:50AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-13 00:33:04AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.37% · 2026-09-13 00:33:05AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 01:02:24AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 01:32:36AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +1.29% · 2026-09-13 02:02:20AWAY · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.58% · 2026-09-13 02:02:21AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 03:03:08AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-13 03:33:04AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -2.25% · 2026-09-13 03:33:05AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 04:02:40AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 04:32:49AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-13 05:03:21AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.17% · 2026-09-13 05:03:22AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 05:03:30AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 05:33:39AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 05:33:49AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 06:02:41AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 06:34:02AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-09-13 06:34:03AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-13 06:34:04AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-09-13 06:34:05AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 07:02:19AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 07:02:20AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 07:33:29AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 07:33:31AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +2.72% · 2026-09-13 08:02:49AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.17% · 2026-09-13 08:02:50AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-13 08:33:22AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -2.25% · 2026-09-13 08:33:23AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 09:03:02AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 09:33:49AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 10:03:20AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 10:32:47AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +2.72% · 2026-09-13 11:02:45AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -0.17% · 2026-09-13 11:02:46AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-13 11:32:48AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-13 12:02:52AWAY · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +1.56% · 2026-09-13 12:33:42AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-13 12:33:43AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-13 13:02:39AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +2.72% · 2026-09-13 13:32:59AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-09-13 13:33:00AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-13 14:02:41AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 14:02:42AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +2.72% · 2026-09-13 14:33:14AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-09-13 14:33:15AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-13 15:02:39AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-13 15:33:03AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 15:33:04AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-13 16:13:18AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-13 16:54:04AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 16:54:05AWAY · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +1.62% · 2026-09-13 17:34:30AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-13 17:34:31AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -2.25% · 2026-09-13 18:13:53AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-09-13 18:13:54AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-09-13 18:54:39AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-09-13 19:34:26AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-09-13 20:13:22AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-09-13 20:54:29
HOME65 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.28
→
CURRENT2.34
+2.78%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW65 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.98
→
CURRENT2.95
-1.12%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY65 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.02
→
CURRENT2.96
-1.77%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-13 00:02:092.282.983.02
2026-09-13 00:02:122.282.983.02
2026-09-13 00:32:482.282.953.05
2026-09-13 00:32:492.262.993.01
2026-09-13 00:32:502.322.993.01
2026-09-13 00:33:042.262.973.04
2026-09-13 00:33:052.282.993.01
2026-09-13 01:02:242.282.983.02
2026-09-13 01:32:362.282.983.02
2026-09-13 02:02:202.283.023.06
2026-09-13 02:02:212.282.922.94
2026-09-13 03:03:082.282.983.02
2026-09-13 03:33:042.272.993.03
2026-09-13 03:33:052.372.952.95
2026-09-13 04:02:402.282.983.02
2026-09-13 04:32:492.282.983.02
2026-09-13 05:03:212.272.983.03
2026-09-13 05:03:222.292.993.01
2026-09-13 05:03:302.282.983.02
2026-09-13 05:33:392.282.983.02
2026-09-13 05:33:492.282.983.02
2026-09-13 06:02:412.282.983.02
2026-09-13 06:34:022.282.953.05
2026-09-13 06:34:032.282.993.01
2026-09-13 06:34:042.282.953.05
2026-09-13 06:34:052.282.993.01
2026-09-13 07:02:192.282.983.02
2026-09-13 07:02:202.282.983.02
2026-09-13 07:33:292.282.983.02
2026-09-13 07:33:312.282.983.02
2026-09-13 08:02:492.303.003.10
2026-09-13 08:02:502.282.983.01
2026-09-13 08:33:222.272.993.03
2026-09-13 08:33:232.372.952.95
2026-09-13 09:03:022.282.983.02
2026-09-13 09:33:492.282.983.02
2026-09-13 10:03:202.282.983.02
2026-09-13 10:32:472.282.983.02
2026-09-13 11:02:452.303.003.10
2026-09-13 11:02:462.282.983.01
2026-09-13 11:32:482.282.983.02
2026-09-13 12:02:522.292.973.03
2026-09-13 12:33:422.293.003.07
2026-09-13 12:33:432.282.902.95
2026-09-13 13:02:392.292.973.03
2026-09-13 13:32:592.303.003.10
2026-09-13 13:33:002.292.963.02
2026-09-13 14:02:412.282.973.03
2026-09-13 14:02:422.302.963.02
2026-09-13 14:33:142.303.003.10
2026-09-13 14:33:152.292.963.02
2026-09-13 15:02:392.292.963.03
2026-09-13 15:33:032.272.923.04
2026-09-13 15:33:042.302.983.02
2026-09-13 16:13:182.292.963.03
2026-09-13 16:54:042.272.923.04
2026-09-13 16:54:052.302.983.02
2026-09-13 17:34:302.302.993.07
2026-09-13 17:34:312.282.902.95
2026-09-13 18:13:532.332.902.95
2026-09-13 18:13:542.342.962.97
2026-09-13 18:54:392.342.952.96
2026-09-13 19:34:262.342.952.96
2026-09-13 20:13:222.342.952.96
2026-09-13 20:54:292.342.952.96

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.13Progreso1 : 3Cerro
2026.03.14Cerro0 : 1Progreso