경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 7

Tokyo VerdyHOME · 2.20

1 : 12026.09.13 · 종료

JEF United ChibaAWAY · 3.30

HOME · 현재 순위 19위 승점 3 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 20위 승점 3 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.2%

DRAW24.9%

AWAY38.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +10.5%

VALUE EDGE+10.5%

FAIR ODDS2.57

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 72/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +9.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +2.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -5.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Tokyo Verdy분석 지표JEF United Chiba

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.2 / 15

예측 분리도1.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승37.0%표본 119경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 -0.5%

OPEN → NOW2.21 → 2.20배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:52:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

36.2%

DRAW

24.9%

AWAY

38.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Tokyo Verdy

W · 0-1D · 0-0L · 0-2L · 0-2W · 4-1

JEF United Chiba

W · 0-2W · 2-0L · 1-2L · 4-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME71 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.23

→

CURRENT2.24

+0.56%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW71 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.30

→

CURRENT3.19

-3.36%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY71 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.20

→

CURRENT3.27

+2.14%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-12 00:15:28	2.23	3.30	3.20
2026-09-13 00:12:51	2.25	3.22	3.15
2026-09-13 00:44:49	2.24	3.26	3.18
2026-09-13 00:44:50	2.27	3.14	3.10
2026-09-13 01:13:49	2.25	3.22	3.15
2026-09-13 01:44:22	2.25	3.22	3.15
2026-09-13 02:13:21	2.25	3.22	3.15
2026-09-13 02:44:07	2.25	3.22	3.15
2026-09-13 02:52:04	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 03:22:05	2.20	3.23	3.20
2026-09-13 03:22:06	2.27	3.19	3.20
2026-09-13 03:52:03	2.20	3.10	3.10
2026-09-13 03:52:04	2.24	3.22	3.21
2026-09-13 04:22:03	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 04:52:03	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 05:22:03	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 05:52:04	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 06:22:06	2.20	3.23	3.20
2026-09-13 06:22:07	2.27	3.19	3.20
2026-09-13 06:52:06	2.20	3.10	3.10
2026-09-13 06:52:07	2.24	3.22	3.21
2026-09-13 07:22:06	2.21	3.23	3.22
2026-09-13 07:22:07	2.28	3.18	3.17
2026-09-13 07:52:04	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 08:22:06	2.24	3.21	3.20
2026-09-13 08:52:05	2.25	3.21	3.18
2026-09-13 09:22:04	2.21	3.23	3.18
2026-09-13 09:22:05	2.29	3.19	3.18
2026-09-13 09:52:05	2.25	3.21	3.18
2026-09-13 10:22:06	2.25	3.21	3.18
2026-09-13 10:52:04	2.25	3.21	3.18
2026-09-13 11:22:05	2.25	3.21	3.18
2026-09-13 11:52:07	2.24	3.20	3.18
2026-09-13 11:52:08	2.28	3.25	3.20
2026-09-13 12:22:06	2.23	3.25	3.23
2026-09-13 12:22:07	2.27	3.13	3.11
2026-09-13 12:52:05	2.25	3.21	3.19
2026-09-13 13:22:06	2.24	3.20	3.18
2026-09-13 13:22:07	2.28	3.25	3.20
2026-09-13 13:52:07	2.25	3.21	3.19
2026-09-13 14:22:08	2.23	3.25	3.23
2026-09-13 14:22:09	2.27	3.13	3.11
2026-09-13 14:52:05	2.21	3.19	3.27
2026-09-13 15:22:07	2.21	3.19	3.27
2026-09-13 16:02:10	2.19	3.20	3.29
2026-09-13 16:02:11	2.25	3.18	3.24
2026-09-13 16:42:13	2.20	3.22	3.32
2026-09-13 16:42:14	2.25	3.13	3.17
2026-09-13 17:22:15	2.20	3.15	3.23
2026-09-13 17:22:16	2.20	3.25	3.37
2026-09-13 17:22:17	2.25	3.13	3.17
2026-09-13 18:42:22	2.19	3.22	3.34
2026-09-13 18:42:23	2.24	3.14	3.19
2026-09-13 19:22:19	2.19	3.22	3.34
2026-09-13 19:22:20	2.24	3.14	3.19
2026-09-13 20:02:11	2.20	3.18	3.28
2026-09-13 20:02:12	2.23	3.26	3.33
2026-09-13 20:42:16	2.18	3.15	3.30
2026-09-13 20:42:17	2.21	3.21	3.29
2026-09-13 21:22:14	2.18	3.20	3.32
2026-09-13 21:22:15	2.24	3.19	3.27
2026-09-13 21:52:10	2.20	3.19	3.29
2026-09-13 22:22:20	2.18	3.15	3.30
2026-09-13 22:22:21	2.21	3.21	3.29
2026-09-13 22:52:14	2.20	3.19	3.29
2026-09-13 22:52:15	2.22	3.20	3.30
2026-09-13 23:22:19	2.18	3.18	3.29
2026-09-13 23:22:20	2.21	3.17	3.28
2026-09-13 23:22:21	2.23	3.26	3.33
2026-09-13 23:52:10	2.18	3.20	3.32
2026-09-13 23:52:11	2.24	3.19	3.27

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.13	Tokyo Verdy	1 : 1	JEF United Chiba
2026.04.18	Tokyo Verdy	1 : 0	JEF United Chiba
2026.04.04	JEF United Chiba	3 : 2	Tokyo Verdy