LIVE 15 오늘 1,351경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Copa Santa Catarina Brazil · Group Stage - 3
FigueirenseHOME · 1.33
1 : 02026.09.13 · 종료
NaçãoAWAY · 10.00
HOME · 현재 순위 -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.7%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY26.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 62/100
AI PICK HOME 36.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +17.1%
VALUE EDGE+17.1%
FAIR ODDS3.81
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 52/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +4.6%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST HOME +5.0%p
MARKET HOME +59.5%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Figueirense분석 지표Nação
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17
0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50
20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

62/100 MEDIUM
데이터 커버리지12.4 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본0.0 / 10
모델 일치도11.6 / 15
예측 분리도5.0 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME68.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승91.7%표본 12경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -2.2%
OPEN → NOW1.36 → 1.33배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:53:33

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
42.7%
DRAW
31.0%
AWAY
26.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Figueirense
D · 1-1W · 2-1D · 0-0W · 1-2D · 2-2
Nação
D · 2-2L · 1-2W · 0-2D · 2-2W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+44.0%+22.0%0.0%-22.0%-44.0%09/12 09:1209/12 12:3409/12 16:3409/12 21:1309/12 23:53HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 09:12:21HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 09:52:58HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 10:32:22HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 11:13:41HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 11:53:28HOME · 배당 1.37 · 변동 -1.19% · 2026-09-12 12:34:00HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +4.77% · 2026-09-12 12:34:01HOME · 배당 1.40 · 변동 +1.16% · 2026-09-12 13:13:31HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-12 13:13:32HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 13:53:02HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 14:33:13HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:12:37HOME · 배당 1.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:52:54HOME · 배당 1.37 · 변동 -1.01% · 2026-09-12 16:34:34HOME · 배당 1.41 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-09-12 16:34:35HOME · 배당 1.37 · 변동 -1.01% · 2026-09-12 17:13:58HOME · 배당 1.41 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-09-12 17:13:59HOME · 배당 1.32 · 변동 -4.73% · 2026-09-12 20:34:16HOME · 배당 1.33 · 변동 -3.90% · 2026-09-12 21:13:49HOME · 배당 1.31 · 변동 -5.06% · 2026-09-12 21:13:50HOME · 배당 1.32 · 변동 -4.73% · 2026-09-12 21:53:41HOME · 배당 1.31 · 변동 -5.35% · 2026-09-12 22:34:23HOME · 배당 1.33 · 변동 -4.26% · 2026-09-12 22:34:24HOME · 배당 1.32 · 변동 -4.62% · 2026-09-12 23:13:51HOME · 배당 1.42 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-09-12 23:13:52HOME · 배당 1.33 · 변동 -3.59% · 2026-09-12 23:53:33DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 09:12:21DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 09:52:58DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 10:32:22DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 11:13:41DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 11:53:28DRAW · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +2.72% · 2026-09-12 12:34:00DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -10.89% · 2026-09-12 12:34:01DRAW · 배당 4.50 · 변동 +11.39% · 2026-09-12 13:13:31DRAW · 배당 3.93 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-12 13:13:32DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 13:53:02DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 14:33:13DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:12:37DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:52:54DRAW · 배당 4.17 · 변동 +3.14% · 2026-09-12 16:34:34DRAW · 배당 3.85 · 변동 -4.70% · 2026-09-12 16:34:35DRAW · 배당 4.17 · 변동 +3.14% · 2026-09-12 17:13:58DRAW · 배당 3.85 · 변동 -4.70% · 2026-09-12 17:13:59DRAW · 배당 4.11 · 변동 +1.77% · 2026-09-12 20:34:16DRAW · 배당 4.28 · 변동 +5.82% · 2026-09-12 21:13:49DRAW · 배당 4.05 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-12 21:13:50DRAW · 배당 4.11 · 변동 +1.77% · 2026-09-12 21:53:41DRAW · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +5.20% · 2026-09-12 22:34:23DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-09-12 22:34:24DRAW · 배당 4.14 · 변동 +2.43% · 2026-09-12 23:13:51DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -10.89% · 2026-09-12 23:13:52DRAW · 배당 4.06 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-12 23:53:33AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 09:12:21AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 09:52:58AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 10:32:22AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 11:13:41AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 11:53:28AWAY · 배당 7.49 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-09-12 12:34:00AWAY · 배당 7.00 · 변동 -5.28% · 2026-09-12 12:34:01AWAY · 배당 5.50 · 변동 -25.58% · 2026-09-12 13:13:31AWAY · 배당 7.86 · 변동 +6.39% · 2026-09-12 13:13:32AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 13:53:02AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 14:33:13AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:12:37AWAY · 배당 7.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:52:54AWAY · 배당 7.27 · 변동 -1.67% · 2026-09-12 16:34:34AWAY · 배당 7.58 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-12 16:34:35AWAY · 배당 7.27 · 변동 -1.67% · 2026-09-12 17:13:58AWAY · 배당 7.58 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-12 17:13:59AWAY · 배당 9.62 · 변동 +30.23% · 2026-09-12 20:34:16AWAY · 배당 8.25 · 변동 +11.64% · 2026-09-12 21:13:49AWAY · 배당 10.17 · 변동 +37.67% · 2026-09-12 21:13:50AWAY · 배당 9.62 · 변동 +30.23% · 2026-09-12 21:53:41AWAY · 배당 9.33 · 변동 +26.30% · 2026-09-12 22:34:23AWAY · 배당 9.84 · 변동 +33.19% · 2026-09-12 22:34:24AWAY · 배당 9.69 · 변동 +31.08% · 2026-09-12 23:13:51AWAY · 배당 7.90 · 변동 +6.90% · 2026-09-12 23:13:52AWAY · 배당 9.43 · 변동 +27.62% · 2026-09-12 23:53:33
HOME26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.38
→
CURRENT1.33
-3.59%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.04
→
CURRENT4.06
+0.53%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN7.39
→
CURRENT9.43
+27.62%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-12 09:12:211.384.047.39
2026-09-12 09:52:581.384.047.39
2026-09-12 10:32:221.384.047.39
2026-09-12 11:13:411.384.047.39
2026-09-12 11:53:281.384.047.39
2026-09-12 12:34:001.374.157.49
2026-09-12 12:34:011.453.607.00
2026-09-12 13:13:311.404.505.50
2026-09-12 13:13:321.383.937.86
2026-09-12 13:53:021.384.047.39
2026-09-12 14:33:131.384.047.39
2026-09-12 15:12:371.384.047.39
2026-09-12 15:52:541.384.047.39
2026-09-12 16:34:341.374.177.27
2026-09-12 16:34:351.413.857.58
2026-09-12 17:13:581.374.177.27
2026-09-12 17:13:591.413.857.58
2026-09-12 20:34:161.324.119.62
2026-09-12 21:13:491.334.288.25
2026-09-12 21:13:501.314.0510.17
2026-09-12 21:53:411.324.119.62
2026-09-12 22:34:231.314.259.33
2026-09-12 22:34:241.334.019.84
2026-09-12 23:13:511.324.149.69
2026-09-12 23:13:521.423.607.90
2026-09-12 23:53:331.334.069.43

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.13Figueirense1 : 0Nação