경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 7
Machida ZelviaHOME · 1.91
1 : 12026.09.12 · 종료
Yokohama F. MarinosAWAY · 3.90
HOME · 현재 순위
1위
승점 16
· 6경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
7위
승점 10
· 6경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.7%
DRAW24.0%
AWAY27.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH91 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME49.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.7%표본 113경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승39.0%현재 이동 +9.1%
OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.91배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:42:31
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Machida ZelviaW · 1-3W · 2-1D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 2-1
Yokohama F. MarinosW · 0-2D · 1-1L · 3-2W · 1-0W · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME56 SNAPSHOTS
+8.88%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW56 SNAPSHOTS
-3.10%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY56 SNAPSHOTS
-10.82%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-11 00:15:28 | 1.76 | 3.71 | 4.31 |
| 2026-09-12 00:12:29 | 1.80 | 3.68 | 4.20 |
| 2026-09-12 00:42:35 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 01:12:32 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 01:42:27 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 02:12:27 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 02:52:30 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 03:32:30 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 04:12:27 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 04:52:33 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 05:32:31 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 06:12:33 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 06:52:33 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 07:32:34 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 08:12:34 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 08:52:38 | 1.81 | 3.69 | 4.21 |
| 2026-09-12 09:02:02 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.13 |
| 2026-09-12 09:42:02 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.13 |
| 2026-09-12 10:22:03 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.13 |
| 2026-09-12 11:02:05 | 1.78 | 3.62 | 4.16 |
| 2026-09-12 11:02:06 | 1.83 | 3.63 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-12 11:42:03 | 1.79 | 3.64 | 4.17 |
| 2026-09-12 11:42:04 | 1.83 | 3.61 | 4.08 |
| 2026-09-12 11:42:12 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.14 |
| 2026-09-12 12:22:12 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.14 |
| 2026-09-12 13:02:19 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.14 |
| 2026-09-12 13:42:16 | 1.78 | 3.60 | 4.17 |
| 2026-09-12 13:42:17 | 1.81 | 3.64 | 4.13 |
| 2026-09-12 14:22:14 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-12 14:22:15 | 1.81 | 3.65 | 4.16 |
| 2026-09-12 15:02:13 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.14 |
| 2026-09-12 15:42:18 | 1.81 | 3.63 | 4.14 |
| 2026-09-12 16:22:33 | 1.78 | 3.62 | 4.16 |
| 2026-09-12 16:22:34 | 1.82 | 3.64 | 4.12 |
| 2026-09-12 17:02:37 | 1.79 | 3.64 | 4.17 |
| 2026-09-12 17:02:38 | 1.82 | 3.63 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:36 | 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:37 | 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.83 |
| 2026-09-12 18:22:39 | 1.91 | 3.59 | 3.80 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:59 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-12 19:03:00 | 1.91 | 3.62 | 3.87 |
| 2026-09-12 19:03:01 | 1.92 | 3.55 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:44 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:45 | 1.90 | 3.59 | 3.86 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:46 | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 20:22:41 | 1.90 | 3.49 | 3.78 |
| 2026-09-12 20:22:42 | 1.92 | 3.57 | 3.85 |
| 2026-09-12 21:02:22 | 1.91 | 3.54 | 3.83 |
| 2026-09-12 21:42:32 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| 2026-09-12 21:42:33 | 1.92 | 3.56 | 3.86 |
| 2026-09-12 22:22:45 | 1.92 | 3.54 | 3.84 |
| 2026-09-12 22:22:46 | 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
| 2026-09-12 23:02:25 | 1.90 | 3.49 | 3.81 |
| 2026-09-12 23:02:26 | 1.93 | 3.58 | 3.84 |
| 2026-09-12 23:42:30 | 1.91 | 3.53 | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 23:42:31 | 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.85 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.12 | Machida Zelvia | 1 : 1 | Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026.05.06 | Machida Zelvia | 2 : 0 | Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026.02.06 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2 : 3 | Machida Zelvia |
| 2025.08.23 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 0 : 0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 2025.05.31 | Machida Zelvia | 0 : 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2024.07.20 | Machida Zelvia | 1 : 2 | Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2024.06.15 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 : 3 | Machida Zelvia |