LIVE 332 오늘 1,041경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Liga Pro Serie B Ecuador · Relegation Group - 3
El NacionalHOME · 1.44
3 : 02026.09.12 · 종료
22 de JulioAWAY · 5.65
HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 12 · 22경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 15 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.5%
DRAW38.2%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 36.6% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +16.3%
VALUE EDGE+16.3%
FAIR ODDS2.62
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 79/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +9.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -4.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.2%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
El Nacional분석 지표22 de Julio
25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 8.3%
1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.75
1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.58
20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.5 / 15
예측 분리도2.7 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME62.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승54.9%표본 51경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -1.4%
OPEN → NOW1.46 → 1.44배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:23:21

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
44.5%
DRAW
38.2%
AWAY
17.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
El Nacional
L · 0-2L · 3-0D · 1-1L · 0-1W · 1-0
22 de Julio
L · 0-3L · 2-0L · 0-1L · 2-0L · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+16.0%+8.0%0.0%-8.0%-16.0%09/12 00:0209/12 06:0209/12 12:4309/12 17:2309/12 23:23HOME · 배당 1.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:02:33HOME · 배당 1.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:32:32HOME · 배당 1.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:02:34HOME · 배당 1.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:32:29HOME · 배당 1.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:02:26HOME · 배당 1.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:32:28HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 03:22:03HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 04:02:03HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 04:42:03HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 05:22:02HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 05:22:09HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 06:02:09HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 06:42:08HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 07:22:11HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 08:02:11HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 08:42:11HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 09:22:11HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.96% · 2026-09-12 10:02:36HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-09-12 10:02:37HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.12% · 2026-09-12 10:42:17HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-12 10:42:18HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 11:22:55HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 12:02:48HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.83% · 2026-09-12 12:43:12HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-12 12:43:13HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.83% · 2026-09-12 13:23:01HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-12 13:23:02HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 14:02:25HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.83% · 2026-09-12 14:42:49HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-12 14:42:50HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 -1.84% · 2026-09-12 15:22:53HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -3.23% · 2026-09-12 15:22:54HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 16:03:05HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 16:43:13HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 17:23:41HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 18:02:47HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.83% · 2026-09-12 18:44:07HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-12 18:44:08HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.96% · 2026-09-12 19:24:25HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.68% · 2026-09-12 19:24:26HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 21:23:32HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.83% · 2026-09-12 22:02:36HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-12 22:02:37HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 -2.12% · 2026-09-12 22:43:32HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-12 22:43:33HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-12 23:23:21DRAW · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:02:33DRAW · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:32:32DRAW · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:02:34DRAW · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:32:29DRAW · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:02:26DRAW · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:32:28DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 03:22:03DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 04:02:03DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 04:42:03DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 05:22:02DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 05:22:09DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 06:02:09DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 06:42:08DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-09-12 07:22:11DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 08:02:11DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 08:42:11DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 09:22:11DRAW · 배당 4.00 · 변동 +1.86% · 2026-09-12 10:02:36DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +4.49% · 2026-09-12 10:02:37DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.26% · 2026-09-12 10:42:17DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.13% · 2026-09-12 10:42:18DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 11:22:55DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 12:02:48DRAW · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-12 12:43:12DRAW · 배당 4.14 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-12 12:43:13DRAW · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-12 13:23:01DRAW · 배당 4.14 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-12 13:23:02DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 14:02:25DRAW · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-12 14:42:49DRAW · 배당 4.14 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-12 14:42:50DRAW · 배당 3.95 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-09-12 15:22:53DRAW · 배당 4.05 · 변동 +3.11% · 2026-09-12 15:22:54DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 16:03:05DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 16:43:13DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 17:23:41DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 18:02:47DRAW · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-12 18:44:07DRAW · 배당 4.14 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-12 18:44:08DRAW · 배당 3.80 · 변동 -3.16% · 2026-09-12 19:24:25DRAW · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +2.96% · 2026-09-12 19:24:26DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 21:23:32DRAW · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-09-12 22:02:36DRAW · 배당 4.14 · 변동 +5.59% · 2026-09-12 22:02:37DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.26% · 2026-09-12 22:43:32DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.13% · 2026-09-12 22:43:33DRAW · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +2.19% · 2026-09-12 23:23:21AWAY · 배당 5.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:02:33AWAY · 배당 5.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:32:32AWAY · 배당 5.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:02:34AWAY · 배당 5.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:32:29AWAY · 배당 5.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:02:26AWAY · 배당 5.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:32:28AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 03:22:03AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 04:02:03AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 04:42:03AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 05:22:02AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 05:22:09AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 06:02:09AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 06:42:08AWAY · 배당 5.26 · 변동 +1.38% · 2026-09-12 07:22:11AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 08:02:11AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 08:42:11AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 09:22:11AWAY · 배당 5.67 · 변동 +9.22% · 2026-09-12 10:02:36AWAY · 배당 5.30 · 변동 +2.12% · 2026-09-12 10:02:37AWAY · 배당 5.60 · 변동 +7.90% · 2026-09-12 10:42:17AWAY · 배당 5.65 · 변동 +8.77% · 2026-09-12 10:42:18AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 11:22:55AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 12:02:48AWAY · 배당 5.44 · 변동 +4.82% · 2026-09-12 12:43:12AWAY · 배당 5.93 · 변동 +14.19% · 2026-09-12 12:43:13AWAY · 배당 5.44 · 변동 +4.82% · 2026-09-12 13:23:01AWAY · 배당 5.93 · 변동 +14.19% · 2026-09-12 13:23:02AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 14:02:25AWAY · 배당 5.44 · 변동 +4.82% · 2026-09-12 14:42:49AWAY · 배당 5.93 · 변동 +14.19% · 2026-09-12 14:42:50AWAY · 배당 5.63 · 변동 +8.54% · 2026-09-12 15:22:53AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.21% · 2026-09-12 15:22:54AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 16:03:05AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 16:43:13AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 17:23:41AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 18:02:47AWAY · 배당 5.44 · 변동 +4.82% · 2026-09-12 18:44:07AWAY · 배당 5.93 · 변동 +14.19% · 2026-09-12 18:44:08AWAY · 배당 5.80 · 변동 +11.75% · 2026-09-12 19:24:25AWAY · 배당 5.60 · 변동 +7.84% · 2026-09-12 19:24:26AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 21:23:32AWAY · 배당 5.44 · 변동 +4.82% · 2026-09-12 22:02:36AWAY · 배당 5.93 · 변동 +14.19% · 2026-09-12 22:02:37AWAY · 배당 5.60 · 변동 +7.90% · 2026-09-12 22:43:32AWAY · 배당 5.65 · 변동 +8.77% · 2026-09-12 22:43:33AWAY · 배당 5.62 · 변동 +8.33% · 2026-09-12 23:23:21
HOME46 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.48
→
CURRENT1.44
-2.71%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW46 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.92
→
CURRENT4.01
+2.19%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY46 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN5.19
→
CURRENT5.62
+8.33%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-12 00:02:331.483.925.19
2026-09-12 00:32:321.483.925.19
2026-09-12 01:02:341.483.925.19
2026-09-12 01:32:291.483.925.19
2026-09-12 02:02:261.483.925.19
2026-09-12 02:32:281.483.925.19
2026-09-12 03:22:031.503.875.26
2026-09-12 04:02:031.503.875.26
2026-09-12 04:42:031.503.875.26
2026-09-12 05:22:021.503.875.26
2026-09-12 05:22:091.503.875.26
2026-09-12 06:02:091.503.875.26
2026-09-12 06:42:081.503.875.26
2026-09-12 07:22:111.503.875.26
2026-09-12 08:02:111.444.015.62
2026-09-12 08:42:111.444.015.62
2026-09-12 09:22:111.444.015.62
2026-09-12 10:02:361.444.005.67
2026-09-12 10:02:371.474.105.30
2026-09-12 10:42:171.454.015.60
2026-09-12 10:42:181.444.015.65
2026-09-12 11:22:551.444.015.62
2026-09-12 12:02:481.444.015.62
2026-09-12 12:43:121.443.935.44
2026-09-12 12:43:131.454.145.93
2026-09-12 13:23:011.443.935.44
2026-09-12 13:23:021.454.145.93
2026-09-12 14:02:251.444.015.62
2026-09-12 14:42:491.443.935.44
2026-09-12 14:42:501.454.145.93
2026-09-12 15:22:531.463.955.63
2026-09-12 15:22:541.444.055.62
2026-09-12 16:03:051.444.015.62
2026-09-12 16:43:131.444.015.62
2026-09-12 17:23:411.444.015.62
2026-09-12 18:02:471.444.015.62
2026-09-12 18:44:071.443.935.44
2026-09-12 18:44:081.454.145.93
2026-09-12 19:24:251.443.805.80
2026-09-12 19:24:261.444.045.60
2026-09-12 21:23:321.444.015.62
2026-09-12 22:02:361.443.935.44
2026-09-12 22:02:371.454.145.93
2026-09-12 22:43:321.454.015.60
2026-09-12 22:43:331.444.015.65
2026-09-12 23:23:211.444.015.62

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.0822 de Julio2 : 5El Nacional
2026.09.12El Nacional3 : 022 de Julio
2026.08.0122 de Julio1 : 3El Nacional
2026.05.10El Nacional1 : 122 de Julio