Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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LMBP Venezuela

Marineros de CaraboboHOME · -

7 : 172024.05.20 · 종료

Caciques de DistritoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100

AI PICK HOME 59.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.0%

VALUE EDGE+64.0%

FAIR ODDS1.56

GRADEB

BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100

Marineros de Carabobo · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM

ERA-

WHIP-

K/9-

BB/9-

Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -

STARTER EDGE 50 : 50 대등

Caciques de Distrito · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM

ERA-

WHIP-

K/9-

BB/9-

Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -

Marineros de Carabobo Pitcher Matchup Details Caciques de Distrito

- Last 5 ERA -

- Last 5 WHIP -

- Home / Away ERA -

- Home / Away WHIP -

- Opponent ERA -

- Opponent WHIP -

- Average innings -

- Rest days -

Marineros de Carabobo 최근 공격 4.00 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -2.60

Bullpen Condition PROXY LOW / LOW 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반

Caciques de Distrito 최근 공격 4.00 R/G Last 1 matches · Run differential -6.00

시즌 기본 성적 No Data

최근 5경기 No Data

홈/원정 스플릿 No Data

상대팀 상대전적 No Data

휴식/이닝 소화 No Data

구종/구속 지표 No Data

상대 타선 최근 공격력 No Data

실제 불펜 컨디션 No Data

예상 라인업 타격력 No Data

좌우 타선 상성 No Data

구종 × 상대 타선 No Data

WAIT선발 세부 데이터 수집 중

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Marineros de CaraboboAnalysis MetricsCaciques de Distrito

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+1.92 Run DifferentialHigher is better -2.42

4.83 Average goals concededLower is better 6.58

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 56/100 · HIGH RISK

• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage20.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation12.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Marineros de Carabobo

L · 7-8L · 3-19W · 0-2L · 4-0L · 9-5

Caciques de Distrito

L · 10-4

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.20	Marineros de Carabobo	11 : 5	Caciques de Distrito
2026.06.15	Marineros de Carabobo	6 : 2	Caciques de Distrito
2026.06.14	Caciques de Distrito	1 : 12	Marineros de Carabobo
2026.05.30	Caciques de Distrito	7 : 5	Marineros de Carabobo
2026.05.16	Marineros de Carabobo	8 : 9	Caciques de Distrito
2026.05.15	Marineros de Carabobo	6 : 7	Caciques de Distrito
2026.04.30	Caciques de Distrito	7 : 6	Marineros de Carabobo
2026.04.29	Caciques de Distrito	3 : 4	Marineros de Carabobo
2024.07.07	Marineros de Carabobo	8 : 14	Caciques de Distrito
2024.06.23	Caciques de Distrito	6 : 5	Marineros de Carabobo