Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

PCL USA

Las Vegas AviatorsHOME · -

4 : 72023.09.20 · 종료

Reno AcesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100

야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100

AI PICK HOME 54.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.9%

VALUE EDGE+57.9%

FAIR ODDS1.73

GRADEB

BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100

Las Vegas Aviators · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM

ERA-

WHIP-

K/9-

BB/9-

Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -

STARTER EDGE 51 : 49 대등

Reno Aces · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM

ERA-

WHIP-

K/9-

BB/9-

Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -

Las Vegas Aviators Pitcher Matchup Details Reno Aces

- Last 5 ERA -

- Last 5 WHIP -

- Home / Away ERA -

- Home / Away WHIP -

- Opponent ERA -

- Opponent WHIP -

- Average innings -

- Rest days -

Las Vegas Aviators 최근 공격 5.40 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 0.90

Bullpen Condition PROXY LOW / LOW 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반

Reno Aces 최근 공격 6.80 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 0.80

시즌 기본 성적 No Data

최근 5경기 No Data

홈/원정 스플릿 No Data

상대팀 상대전적 No Data

휴식/이닝 소화 No Data

구종/구속 지표 No Data

상대 타선 최근 공격력 47 : 53

실제 불펜 컨디션 57 : 43

예상 라인업 타격력 No Data

좌우 타선 상성 No Data

구종 × 상대 타선 No Data

EVEN상대 타선 최근 공격력 HOME실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Las Vegas AviatorsAnalysis MetricsReno Aces

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+0.58 Run DifferentialHigher is better -1.67

4.17 Average goals concededLower is better 6.00

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

2.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.3일

BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 38/100 · HIGH RISK

실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 57 : 43

상대 타선 최근 공격력 AWAY 47 : 53

• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage20.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation6.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Las Vegas Aviators

L · 5-1L · 4-3L · 7-3W · 3-8W · 0-5

Reno Aces

W · 10-4W · 6-4L · 4-6W · 5-2W · 8-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.09.25	Las Vegas Aviators	6 : 5	Reno Aces
2023.09.24	Las Vegas Aviators	7 : 11	Reno Aces
2023.09.23	Las Vegas Aviators	5 : 7	Reno Aces
2023.09.22	Las Vegas Aviators	2 : 10	Reno Aces
2023.09.21	Las Vegas Aviators	7 : 10	Reno Aces
2023.09.20	Las Vegas Aviators	4 : 7	Reno Aces
2023.08.21	Reno Aces	7 : 3	Las Vegas Aviators
2023.08.20	Reno Aces	14 : 8	Las Vegas Aviators
2023.08.19	Reno Aces	3 : 7	Las Vegas Aviators
2023.08.18	Reno Aces	3 : 7	Las Vegas Aviators