경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Victoria NPL 2 Australia · Semi-finals

Melbourne Victory IIHOME · 1.95

2 : 02026.09.11 · 종료

Eltham Redbacks FCAWAY · 2.97

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 46 · 26경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 39 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.7%

DRAW18.8%

AWAY15.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +19.4%

VALUE EDGE+19.4%

FAIR ODDS1.52

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +30.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +7.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H HOME +50.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Melbourne Victory II분석 지표Eltham Redbacks FC

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

2.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.17

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

71.4% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

12.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 12.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME46.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승46.8%표본 77경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.7%현재 이동 -0.3%

OPEN → NOW1.95 → 1.95배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:52:13

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

65.7%

DRAW

18.8%

AWAY

15.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Melbourne Victory II

W · 4-0W · 0-3L · 0-1W · 1-0W · 1-0

Eltham Redbacks FC

D · 2-2W · 0-2W · 5-0L · 1-0L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.93

→

CURRENT1.91

-1.21%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.75

→

CURRENT3.80

+1.47%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.91

→

CURRENT2.96

+1.55%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-11 00:52:03	1.93	3.75	2.91
2026-09-11 01:12:03	1.93	3.75	2.91
2026-09-11 01:32:04	1.93	3.75	2.91
2026-09-11 01:52:03	1.94	3.78	2.91
2026-09-11 01:52:04	1.93	3.71	2.91
2026-09-11 02:12:03	1.93	3.75	2.91
2026-09-11 02:32:04	1.93	3.75	2.91
2026-09-11 02:52:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 03:12:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 03:32:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 03:52:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 04:12:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 04:32:11	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 04:32:12	1.93	3.85	2.96
2026-09-11 04:52:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 05:12:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 05:32:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 05:52:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 06:12:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 06:32:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 06:52:11	1.92	3.82	2.95
2026-09-11 06:52:12	1.97	3.88	2.95
2026-09-11 07:12:11	1.91	3.79	2.99
2026-09-11 07:12:12	1.94	3.86	2.93
2026-09-11 07:32:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 07:52:09	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 08:12:10	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 08:12:11	1.93	3.85	2.96
2026-09-11 08:32:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 08:52:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 09:12:09	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 09:32:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 09:52:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 10:12:10	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 10:32:11	1.93	3.83	2.95
2026-09-11 11:12:09	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 11:32:09	1.94	3.78	2.91
2026-09-11 11:32:10	1.93	3.71	2.89
2026-09-11 11:52:10	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 12:12:08	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 12:32:09	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 12:52:08	1.95	3.50	2.90
2026-09-11 12:52:09	1.93	3.80	2.90
2026-09-11 13:12:09	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 13:32:11	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 13:52:10	1.93	3.75	2.90
2026-09-11 14:12:08	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 14:32:09	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 14:52:10	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 15:12:08	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 15:32:11	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 15:52:11	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 16:12:08	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 16:32:11	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 16:52:09	1.93	3.77	2.91
2026-09-11 17:12:09	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 17:32:10	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 17:52:10	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 18:12:10	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 18:32:11	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 18:32:12	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 18:52:09	1.89	3.71	2.94
2026-09-11 18:52:10	1.92	3.82	2.96
2026-09-11 19:12:10	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 19:12:11	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 19:32:12	1.91	3.77	2.95
2026-09-11 19:32:14	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 19:52:11	1.91	3.79	2.95
2026-09-11 20:12:11	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 20:32:12	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 20:52:11	1.91	3.85	2.95
2026-09-11 20:52:12	1.91	3.75	2.96
2026-09-11 21:12:11	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 21:52:12	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 22:12:11	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 22:32:11	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 22:52:12	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 23:12:12	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 23:32:12	1.91	3.80	2.96
2026-09-11 23:52:13	1.91	3.80	2.96

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Melbourne Victory II	2 : 0	Eltham Redbacks FC
2026.05.22	Eltham Redbacks FC	3 : 3	Melbourne Victory II
2026.02.16	Melbourne Victory II	2 : 1	Eltham Redbacks FC