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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FL USA
Empire State GreysHOME · -
6 : 52022.08.11 · 종료
New Jersey JackalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.8%
VALUE EDGE+66.8%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100
Empire State Greys · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
STARTER EDGE 48 : 52 대등
New Jersey Jackals · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
Empire State Greys Pitcher Matchup Details New Jersey Jackals
- Last 5 ERA -
- Last 5 WHIP -
- Home / Away ERA -
- Home / Away WHIP -
- Opponent ERA -
- Opponent WHIP -
- Average innings -
- Rest days -
Empire State Greys 최근 공격 8.60 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -1.70
Bullpen Condition PROXY LOW / LOW 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반
New Jersey Jackals 최근 공격 10.60 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 2.50
시즌 기본 성적 No Data
최근 5경기 No Data
홈/원정 스플릿 No Data
상대팀 상대전적 No Data
휴식/이닝 소화 No Data
구종/구속 지표 No Data
상대 타선 최근 공격력 41 : 59
실제 불펜 컨디션 50 : 50
예상 라인업 타격력 No Data
좌우 타선 상성 No Data
구종 × 상대 타선 No Data
AWAY상대 타선 최근 공격력 EVEN실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Empire State GreysAnalysis MetricsNew Jersey Jackals
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.50 Run DifferentialHigher is better -0.83
10.17 Average goals concededLower is better 10.83
8.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 57/100 · HIGH RISK
상대 타선 최근 공격력 AWAY 41 : 59
실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 50 : 50
• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Empire State Greys
L · 15-19L · 6-10L · 1-13W · 9-6L · 6-8
New Jersey Jackals
L · 6-11L · 12-17L · 10-12W · 2-8W · 4-9

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.08.21Empire State Greys6 : 13New Jersey Jackals
2022.08.21Empire State Greys18 : 11New Jersey Jackals
2022.08.20Empire State Greys6 : 15New Jersey Jackals
2022.08.12Empire State Greys4 : 12New Jersey Jackals
2022.08.11Empire State Greys10 : 11New Jersey Jackals
2022.08.11Empire State Greys6 : 5New Jersey Jackals
2022.06.24Empire State Greys6 : 13New Jersey Jackals
2022.06.23Empire State Greys5 : 10New Jersey Jackals
2022.06.22Empire State Greys12 : 19New Jersey Jackals