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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FL USA
Windy City ThunderboltsHOME · -
13 : 82022.06.22 · 종료
Joliet SlammersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 60.2% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEB
BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100
Windy City Thunderbolts · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
STARTER EDGE 50 : 50 대등
Joliet Slammers · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
Windy City Thunderbolts Pitcher Matchup Details Joliet Slammers
- Last 5 ERA -
- Last 5 WHIP -
- Home / Away ERA -
- Home / Away WHIP -
- Opponent ERA -
- Opponent WHIP -
- Average innings -
- Rest days -
Windy City Thunderbolts 최근 공격 9.20 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -2.60
Bullpen Condition PROXY LOW / MEDIUM 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반
Joliet Slammers 최근 공격 9.50 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 0.40
시즌 기본 성적 No Data
최근 5경기 No Data
홈/원정 스플릿 No Data
상대팀 상대전적 No Data
휴식/이닝 소화 No Data
구종/구속 지표 No Data
상대 타선 최근 공격력 43 : 57
실제 불펜 컨디션 55 : 45
예상 라인업 타격력 No Data
좌우 타선 상성 No Data
구종 × 상대 타선 No Data
AWAY상대 타선 최근 공격력 EVEN실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Windy City ThunderboltsAnalysis MetricsJoliet Slammers
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.92 Run DifferentialHigher is better +0.25
10.67 Average goals concededLower is better 7.42
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
0.6일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.6일
BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 44/100 · HIGH RISK
상대 타선 최근 공격력 AWAY 43 : 57
실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 55 : 45
• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Windy City Thunderbolts
W · 12-10D · 8-8L · 12-4L · 13-8W · 8-11
Joliet Slammers
L · 12-10L · 8-13W · 11-9W · 15-5L · 11-7

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.08.28Joliet Slammers8 : 10Windy City Thunderbolts
2022.08.28Joliet Slammers5 : 8Windy City Thunderbolts
2022.08.27Joliet Slammers9 : 7Windy City Thunderbolts
2022.08.05Joliet Slammers7 : 1Windy City Thunderbolts
2022.08.03Joliet Slammers8 : 8Windy City Thunderbolts
2022.07.04Windy City Thunderbolts7 : 9Joliet Slammers
2022.07.03Windy City Thunderbolts11 : 12Joliet Slammers
2022.07.02Windy City Thunderbolts6 : 9Joliet Slammers
2022.06.24Windy City Thunderbolts6 : 8Joliet Slammers
2022.06.22Windy City Thunderbolts13 : 8Joliet Slammers