LIVE 135 오늘 1,498경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Copa Uruguay Uruguay · Group Stage - 2
Cerro LargoHOME · 2.89
1 : 12026.09.10 · 종료
Defensor SportingAWAY · 2.50
HOME · 현재 순위 -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.7%
DRAW33.7%
AWAY15.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 79/100
AI PICK HOME 40.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +19.3%
VALUE EDGE+19.3%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 96/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +22.5%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
H2H AWAY -33.3%p
REST HOME +8.8%p
MARKET AWAY -4.9%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
Cerro Largo분석 지표Defensor Sporting
8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
0.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92
1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67
16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.3일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

79/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지15.9 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본5.5 / 10
모델 일치도9.7 / 15
예측 분리도7.3 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME31.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승30.4%표본 56경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승39.7%현재 이동 +6.2%
OPEN → NOW2.72 → 2.89배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:33

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
50.7%
DRAW
33.7%
AWAY
15.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Cerro Largo
L · 2-1D · 1-1L · 2-1D · 1-1D · 1-1
Defensor Sporting
D · 1-1L · 1-3D · 0-0D · 1-1L · 0-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%09/09 19:4209/09 20:4209/09 22:0209/09 22:5209/09 23:42HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 19:42:29HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 19:52:33HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:02:27HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:12:27HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:22:31HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:32:30HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:42:28HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:02:31HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:12:27HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:22:31HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:32:30HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:42:28HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:52:33HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:02:30HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:12:28HOME · 배당 2.72 · 변동 -0.73% · 2026-09-09 22:22:32HOME · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-09-09 22:22:33HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:32:31HOME · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-09 22:42:30HOME · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-09-09 22:52:32HOME · 배당 2.88 · 변동 +5.15% · 2026-09-09 22:52:33HOME · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-09 23:02:32HOME · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-09 23:12:30HOME · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-09 23:22:38HOME · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-09 23:32:32HOME · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-09 23:42:33DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 19:42:29DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 19:52:33DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:02:27DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:12:27DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:22:31DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:32:30DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:42:28DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:02:31DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:12:27DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:22:31DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:32:30DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:42:28DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:52:33DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:02:30DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:12:28DRAW · 배당 2.88 · 변동 -1.59% · 2026-09-09 22:22:32DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-09-09 22:22:33DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:32:31DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-09 22:42:30DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-09-09 22:52:32DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -3.71% · 2026-09-09 22:52:33DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-09 23:02:32DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-09 23:12:30DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-09 23:22:38DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-09 23:32:32DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -3.30% · 2026-09-09 23:42:33AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 19:42:29AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 19:52:33AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:02:27AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:12:27AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:22:31AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:32:30AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 20:42:28AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:02:31AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:12:27AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:22:31AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:32:30AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:42:28AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 21:52:33AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:02:30AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:12:28AWAY · 배당 2.51 · 변동 +0.27% · 2026-09-09 22:22:32AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-09 22:22:33AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-09 22:32:31AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-09 22:42:30AWAY · 배당 2.50 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-09 22:52:32AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-09 22:52:33AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-09 23:02:32AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-09 23:12:30AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-09 23:22:38AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-09 23:32:32AWAY · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-09 23:42:33
HOME26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.74
→
CURRENT2.87
+4.71%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.93
→
CURRENT2.83
-3.30%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.50
→
CURRENT2.49
-0.42%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-09 19:42:292.742.932.50
2026-09-09 19:52:332.742.932.50
2026-09-09 20:02:272.742.932.50
2026-09-09 20:12:272.742.932.50
2026-09-09 20:22:312.742.932.50
2026-09-09 20:32:302.742.932.50
2026-09-09 20:42:282.742.932.50
2026-09-09 21:02:312.742.932.50
2026-09-09 21:12:272.742.932.50
2026-09-09 21:22:312.742.932.50
2026-09-09 21:32:302.742.932.50
2026-09-09 21:42:282.742.932.50
2026-09-09 21:52:332.742.932.50
2026-09-09 22:02:302.742.932.50
2026-09-09 22:12:282.742.932.50
2026-09-09 22:22:322.722.882.51
2026-09-09 22:22:332.752.952.50
2026-09-09 22:32:312.742.932.50
2026-09-09 22:42:302.872.832.49
2026-09-09 22:52:322.752.952.50
2026-09-09 22:52:332.882.822.49
2026-09-09 23:02:322.872.832.49
2026-09-09 23:12:302.872.832.49
2026-09-09 23:22:382.872.832.49
2026-09-09 23:32:322.872.832.49
2026-09-09 23:42:332.872.832.49

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.10Cerro Largo1 : 1Defensor Sporting
2026.08.23Cerro Largo1 : 1Defensor Sporting
2026.07.14Cerro Largo1 : 1Defensor Sporting
2026.02.21Defensor Sporting1 : 0Cerro Largo