경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Division Intermedia Paraguay · Regular Season - 23

Sportivo CarapeguáHOME · 2.92

2 : 02026.09.11 · 종료

Benjamín AcevalAWAY · 2.17

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 28 · 22경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 39 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.3%

DRAW18.2%

AWAY65.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH78 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +23.7%

VALUE EDGE+23.7%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -14.1%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -12.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -25.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -12.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Sportivo Carapeguá분석 지표Benjamín Aceval

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

78/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME31.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승31.5%표본 168경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승38.3%현재 이동 -18.3%

OPEN → NOW3.57 → 2.92배당 업데이트 2026-09-10 23:52:18

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

16.3%

DRAW

18.2%

AWAY

65.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Sportivo Carapeguá

L · 2-3W · 0-1L · 1-3L · 2-0W · 2-0

Benjamín Aceval

D · 1-1W · 1-3L · 2-3L · 0-2L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.52

→

CURRENT2.78

-21.22%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.55

→

CURRENT3.27

-7.95%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.85

→

CURRENT2.19

+17.96%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 11:22:26	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 11:32:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 11:42:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 11:52:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 12:02:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 12:12:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 12:22:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 12:32:21	3.53	3.47	1.82
2026-09-10 12:32:22	3.52	3.60	1.87
2026-09-10 12:42:20	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 12:52:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 13:02:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 13:12:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 13:22:23	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 13:32:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 13:42:19	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 13:52:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 14:02:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 14:12:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 14:22:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 14:32:23	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 14:42:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 14:52:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 15:02:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 15:12:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 15:22:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 15:32:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 15:42:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 15:52:26	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 16:02:23	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 16:12:23	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 16:22:26	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 16:32:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 16:42:21	3.55	3.50	1.83
2026-09-10 16:42:22	3.50	3.60	1.88
2026-09-10 16:52:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 17:02:23	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 17:12:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 17:22:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 17:32:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 17:42:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 17:52:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 18:02:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 18:12:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 18:22:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 18:32:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 18:42:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 18:52:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 19:02:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 19:12:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 19:22:25	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 19:32:24	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 19:42:20	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 19:52:24	3.54	3.53	1.82
2026-09-10 19:52:25	3.52	3.56	1.87
2026-09-10 20:02:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 20:12:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 20:22:18	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 20:32:19	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 20:42:18	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 20:52:20	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 21:02:21	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 21:12:18	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 21:22:22	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 21:32:20	3.52	3.55	1.85
2026-09-10 21:42:19	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 21:52:20	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 22:02:20	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 22:12:18	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 22:22:21	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 22:32:20	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 22:42:20	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 22:52:22	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 23:02:19	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 23:12:19	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 23:22:18	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 23:32:18	2.78	3.27	2.19
2026-09-10 23:42:18	2.70	3.25	2.30
2026-09-10 23:42:19	2.81	3.28	2.13
2026-09-10 23:52:18	2.78	3.27	2.19

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Sportivo Carapeguá	2 : 0	Benjamín Aceval
2026.05.22	Benjamín Aceval	2 : 0	Sportivo Carapeguá