경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Copa Uruguay Uruguay · Group Stage - 1

CerroHOME · 2.11

0 : 22026.09.11 · 종료

CerritoAWAY · 3.41

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.3%

DRAW30.1%

AWAY13.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK HOME 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +13.7%

VALUE EDGE+13.7%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 90/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +45.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +33.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -4.0%p

MARKET HOME +16.2%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +40.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Cerro분석 지표Cerrito

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

4.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.3 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.0 / 15

예측 분리도11.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승39.0%표본 123경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.1%현재 이동 +0.5%

OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.11배당 업데이트 2026-09-10 23:52:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

56.3%

DRAW

30.1%

AWAY

13.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Cerro

W · 1-0D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 4-0W · 2-1

Cerrito

L · 1-2L · 0-2L · 2-1W · 3-0D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.20

→

CURRENT2.12

-4.02%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.93

→

CURRENT2.95

+0.62%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.24

→

CURRENT3.41

+5.28%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 11:02:16	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 11:12:17	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 11:22:22	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 11:32:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 11:42:17	2.19	2.93	3.21
2026-09-10 11:42:18	2.26	2.96	3.35
2026-09-10 11:52:21	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 12:02:21	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 12:12:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 12:22:21	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 12:32:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 12:42:17	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 12:52:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 13:02:20	2.19	2.93	3.21
2026-09-10 13:02:21	2.26	2.96	3.35
2026-09-10 13:12:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 13:22:20	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 13:32:19	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 13:42:16	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 13:52:19	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 14:02:19	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 14:12:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 14:22:19	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 14:32:19	2.19	2.95	3.20
2026-09-10 14:32:20	2.21	2.92	3.26
2026-09-10 14:42:18	2.19	2.93	3.21
2026-09-10 14:42:19	2.23	2.94	3.32
2026-09-10 14:52:20	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 15:02:20	2.19	2.93	3.21
2026-09-10 15:02:21	2.23	2.94	3.32
2026-09-10 15:12:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 15:22:21	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 15:32:20	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 15:42:18	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 15:52:22	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 16:02:20	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 16:12:19	2.20	2.93	3.24
2026-09-10 16:22:22	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 16:32:21	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 16:42:18	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 16:52:21	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 17:02:20	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 17:12:17	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 17:22:20	2.13	2.90	3.33
2026-09-10 17:22:21	2.09	2.99	3.48
2026-09-10 17:32:21	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 17:42:18	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 17:52:18	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 18:02:21	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 18:12:19	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 18:22:21	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 18:32:19	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 18:42:17	2.10	2.96	3.35
2026-09-10 18:42:18	2.09	2.98	3.53
2026-09-10 18:52:20	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 19:02:21	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 19:12:19	2.10	2.97	3.45
2026-09-10 19:22:21	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 19:32:20	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 19:42:17	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 19:52:20	2.09	2.98	3.43
2026-09-10 19:52:21	2.12	2.90	3.49
2026-09-10 20:02:18	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 20:12:18	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 20:22:16	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 20:32:16	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 20:42:15	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 20:52:18	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 21:02:18	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 21:12:16	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 21:22:19	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 21:32:17	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 21:42:16	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 21:52:18	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 22:02:17	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 22:12:16	2.10	2.95	3.45
2026-09-10 23:22:16	2.12	2.95	3.41
2026-09-10 23:32:16	2.12	2.95	3.41
2026-09-10 23:42:17	2.12	2.95	3.41
2026-09-10 23:52:16	2.12	2.95	3.41

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Cerro	0 : 2	Cerrito