경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Copa Venezuela Venezuela · Round 1 - Group C

Yaracuyanos FCHOME · 1.85

2 : 52026.09.10 · 종료

Aragua FCAWAY · 3.90

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 6 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 1 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.9%

DRAW37.3%

AWAY23.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH80 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 80/100

AI PICK HOME 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +9.1%

VALUE EDGE+9.1%

FAIR ODDS2.68

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 62/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +28.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +10.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.0%p

MARKET HOME +25.6%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Yaracuyanos FC분석 지표Aragua FC

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

80/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.9 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도13.1 / 15

예측 분리도0.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승50.3%표본 149경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.9%현재 이동 -3.9%

OPEN → NOW1.93 → 1.85배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 22:22:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

38.9%

DRAW

37.3%

AWAY

23.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Yaracuyanos FC

L · 1-0W · 4-3D · 0-0W · 1-2W · 2-1

Aragua FC

D · 2-2W · 2-0W · 2-0L · 1-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME77 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.93

→

CURRENT1.87

-3.04%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW77 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.08

→

CURRENT3.17

+3.02%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY77 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.66

→

CURRENT3.80

+3.64%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 10:32:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 10:42:11	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 10:52:14	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 11:02:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 11:12:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 11:22:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 11:32:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 11:42:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 11:52:14	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 12:02:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 12:12:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 12:22:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 12:32:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 12:42:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 12:52:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 13:02:11	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 13:12:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 13:22:14	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 13:32:13	1.91	3.23	3.65
2026-09-09 13:32:14	1.93	3.03	3.67
2026-09-09 13:42:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 13:52:12	1.89	3.09	3.61
2026-09-09 13:52:13	1.96	3.07	3.72
2026-09-09 14:02:11	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 14:12:11	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 14:22:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 14:32:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 14:42:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 14:52:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 15:02:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 15:12:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 15:22:14	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 15:32:13	1.91	3.20	3.80
2026-09-09 15:32:14	1.93	3.06	3.64
2026-09-09 15:42:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 15:52:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 16:02:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 16:12:12	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 16:22:13	1.93	3.08	3.66
2026-09-09 16:32:12	1.91	3.07	3.63
2026-09-09 16:32:13	1.99	3.12	3.72
2026-09-09 16:42:13	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 16:52:14	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 17:02:13	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 17:12:13	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 17:22:14	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 17:32:13	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 17:42:11	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 17:52:14	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 18:02:12	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 18:12:12	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 18:22:14	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 18:32:13	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 18:42:12	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 18:52:15	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 19:02:13	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 19:12:12	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 19:22:14	1.94	3.09	3.66
2026-09-09 19:32:13	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 19:42:12	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 19:52:14	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 20:02:12	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 20:12:11	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 20:22:14	1.84	3.19	3.74
2026-09-09 20:22:15	1.90	3.15	3.85
2026-09-09 20:32:13	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 20:42:12	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 21:02:13	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 21:12:12	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 21:22:13	1.86	3.27	3.77
2026-09-09 21:22:14	1.87	3.13	3.81
2026-09-09 21:32:13	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 21:42:12	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 21:52:14	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 22:02:13	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 22:12:12	1.87	3.17	3.80
2026-09-09 22:22:15	1.87	3.17	3.80

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.10	Yaracuyanos FC	2 : 5	Aragua FC
2026.08.27	Aragua FC	1 : 2	Yaracuyanos FC