경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J-League Cup Japan · Round of 128

Matsumoto YamagaHOME · 2.72

3 : 32026.09.09 · 종료

Shonan BellmareAWAY · 2.45

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.0%

DRAW25.0%

AWAY51.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +13.8%

VALUE EDGE+13.8%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 79/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -23.3%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -27.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.2%p

MARKET AWAY -3.7%p

SEASON_STATS EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Matsumoto Yamaga분석 지표Shonan Bellmare

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

37.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.4 / 15

예측 분리도11.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME33.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승29.6%표본 159경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.8%현재 이동 -12.8%

OPEN → NOW3.12 → 2.72배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

24.0%

DRAW

25.0%

AWAY

51.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Matsumoto Yamaga

D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 2-3D · 0-0

Shonan Bellmare

L · 1-3D · 2-2W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.86

→

CURRENT2.76

-3.30%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.13

→

CURRENT3.12

-0.31%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.34

→

CURRENT2.47

+5.35%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 12:42:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 12:52:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 13:02:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 13:12:15	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 13:22:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 13:32:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 13:42:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 13:52:15	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:02:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:12:13	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:22:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:32:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:32:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 14:42:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:42:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 14:52:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 14:52:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 15:02:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 15:02:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 15:12:14	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 15:12:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 15:22:16	2.86	3.13	2.34
2026-09-09 15:22:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 15:32:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 15:42:15	2.80	3.10	2.30
2026-09-09 15:42:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 15:52:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 16:02:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 16:12:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 16:22:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 16:32:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 16:42:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 16:52:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 17:02:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 17:12:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 17:22:17	2.81	3.09	2.35
2026-09-09 17:22:18	2.95	3.30	2.44
2026-09-09 17:32:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 17:42:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 17:52:18	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 18:02:15	2.80	3.09	2.34
2026-09-09 18:02:16	2.86	3.13	2.38
2026-09-09 18:12:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 18:22:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 18:32:16	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 18:42:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 18:52:18	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 19:02:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 19:12:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 19:22:18	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 19:32:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 19:42:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 19:52:18	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 20:02:15	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 20:12:14	2.82	3.08	2.35
2026-09-09 20:12:15	2.81	3.13	2.36
2026-09-09 20:22:17	2.82	3.11	2.36
2026-09-09 20:32:16	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 20:42:15	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 21:02:17	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 21:12:15	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 21:22:17	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 21:32:17	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 21:42:15	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 21:52:18	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 22:02:16	2.71	3.11	2.44
2026-09-09 22:02:17	2.74	3.09	2.44
2026-09-09 22:12:15	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 22:22:18	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 22:32:16	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 22:42:16	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 22:52:17	2.72	3.07	2.43
2026-09-09 22:52:18	2.74	3.13	2.45
2026-09-09 23:02:17	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 23:12:16	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 23:22:17	2.73	3.10	2.44
2026-09-09 23:32:17	2.71	3.11	2.43
2026-09-09 23:32:18	2.80	3.08	2.47
2026-09-09 23:42:16	2.71	3.10	2.42
2026-09-09 23:42:17	2.76	3.12	2.47

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Matsumoto Yamaga	3 : 3	Shonan Bellmare