경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J-League Cup Japan · Round of 128

Tochigi SCHOME · 3.10

0 : 12026.09.09 · 종료

Montedio YamagataAWAY · 2.10

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.3%

DRAW19.5%

AWAY19.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 79/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +32.0%

VALUE EDGE+32.0%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +28.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H AWAY -50.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET AWAY -13.9%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Tochigi SC분석 지표Montedio Yamagata

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

79/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도6.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME29.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승33.9%표본 115경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승32.1%현재 이동 +17.9%

OPEN → NOW2.63 → 3.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

61.3%

DRAW

19.5%

AWAY

19.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Tochigi SC

W · 2-0L · 4-1L · 3-1D · 2-2W · 2-0

Montedio Yamagata

L · 1-2W · 0-3L · 3-5W · 2-0L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.62

→

CURRENT3.09

+17.87%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.20

→

CURRENT3.28

+2.65%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.46

→

CURRENT2.11

-14.29%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 11:32:15	2.62	3.20	2.46
2026-09-09 11:42:13	2.62	3.20	2.46
2026-09-09 11:52:15	2.62	3.20	2.46
2026-09-09 12:02:14	2.62	3.20	2.46
2026-09-09 12:12:13	2.62	3.20	2.46
2026-09-09 12:22:14	2.62	3.20	2.46
2026-09-09 12:32:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 12:42:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 12:52:16	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 13:02:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 13:12:15	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 13:22:16	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 13:32:15	2.60	3.25	2.35
2026-09-09 13:32:16	2.67	3.20	2.43
2026-09-09 13:42:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 13:52:15	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 14:02:13	2.65	3.20	2.42
2026-09-09 14:02:14	2.71	3.21	2.44
2026-09-09 14:12:13	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 14:22:15	2.66	3.19	2.39
2026-09-09 14:22:16	2.67	3.22	2.44
2026-09-09 14:32:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 14:42:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 14:52:16	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 15:02:16	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 15:12:14	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 15:22:16	2.67	3.21	2.42
2026-09-09 15:32:16	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 15:42:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 15:52:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 16:02:14	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 16:12:14	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 16:22:16	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 16:32:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 16:42:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 16:52:16	2.85	3.22	2.26
2026-09-09 16:52:17	2.81	3.17	2.30
2026-09-09 17:02:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 17:12:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 17:22:16	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 17:32:15	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 17:42:13	2.84	3.20	2.26
2026-09-09 17:42:14	2.83	3.20	2.30
2026-09-09 17:52:17	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 18:02:14	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 18:12:14	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 18:22:17	2.83	3.20	2.28
2026-09-09 18:32:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 18:42:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 18:52:17	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 19:02:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 19:12:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 19:22:16	3.05	3.25	2.10
2026-09-09 19:22:17	3.11	3.30	2.12
2026-09-09 19:32:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 19:42:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 19:52:17	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 20:02:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 20:12:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 20:22:17	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 20:32:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 20:42:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 21:02:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 21:12:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 21:22:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 21:32:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 21:42:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 21:52:16	3.10	3.30	2.10
2026-09-09 21:52:17	3.08	3.26	2.13
2026-09-09 22:02:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 22:12:14	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 22:22:17	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 22:32:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 22:42:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 22:52:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 23:02:16	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 23:12:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 23:22:15	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 23:32:17	3.09	3.28	2.11
2026-09-09 23:42:16	3.09	3.28	2.11

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Tochigi SC	0 : 1	Montedio Yamagata
2026.05.03	Montedio Yamagata	2 : 2	Tochigi SC
2026.02.15	Tochigi SC	1 : 2	Montedio Yamagata