경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J-League Cup Japan · Round of 128

Parceiro NaganoHOME · 7.45

0 : 02026.09.09 · 종료

Mito HollyhockAWAY · 1.37

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.5%

DRAW22.4%

AWAY43.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +22.2%

VALUE EDGE+22.2%

FAIR ODDS2.90

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 52/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +5.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.2%p

MARKET AWAY -54.8%p

SEASON_STATS EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Parceiro Nagano분석 지표Mito Hollyhock

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.3 / 15

예측 분리도3.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME12.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승9.5%표본 21경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 -0.7%

OPEN → NOW7.50 → 7.45배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

34.5%

DRAW

22.4%

AWAY

43.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Parceiro Nagano

D · 1-1L · 1-2L · 6-0W · 0-1W · 2-1

Mito Hollyhock

D · 1-1W · 4-2D · 1-1L · 0-2L · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.59

→

CURRENT7.07

+7.34%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.27

→

CURRENT4.50

+5.39%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.41

→

CURRENT1.36

-3.11%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 11:22:15	6.59	4.27	1.41
2026-09-09 11:32:14	6.59	4.26	1.40
2026-09-09 11:32:15	6.60	4.30	1.42
2026-09-09 11:42:13	6.59	4.27	1.41
2026-09-09 11:52:15	6.59	4.27	1.41
2026-09-09 12:02:14	6.59	4.27	1.41
2026-09-09 12:12:13	6.59	4.27	1.41
2026-09-09 12:22:14	6.59	4.27	1.41
2026-09-09 12:32:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 12:42:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 12:52:16	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 13:02:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 13:12:15	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 13:22:15	6.58	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 13:22:16	6.75	4.25	1.43
2026-09-09 13:32:15	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 13:42:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 13:52:15	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 14:02:13	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 14:12:13	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 14:22:15	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 14:32:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 14:42:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 14:52:16	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 15:02:15	6.64	4.25	1.40
2026-09-09 15:02:16	6.53	4.24	1.42
2026-09-09 15:12:14	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 15:22:16	6.61	4.24	1.41
2026-09-09 15:32:15	6.47	4.21	1.40
2026-09-09 15:32:16	7.00	4.60	1.45
2026-09-09 15:42:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 15:52:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 16:02:14	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 16:12:14	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 16:22:16	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 16:32:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 16:42:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 16:52:16	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 17:02:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 17:12:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 17:22:16	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 17:32:15	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 17:42:13	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 17:52:17	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 18:02:14	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 18:12:14	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 18:22:17	6.51	4.24	1.40
2026-09-09 18:32:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 18:42:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 18:52:17	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 19:02:15	7.10	4.39	1.36
2026-09-09 19:02:16	7.06	4.58	1.37
2026-09-09 19:12:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 19:22:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 19:32:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 19:42:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 19:52:17	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 20:02:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 20:12:13	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 20:22:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 20:32:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 20:42:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 21:02:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 21:12:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 21:22:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 21:32:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 21:42:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 21:52:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 22:02:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 22:12:14	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 22:22:17	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 22:32:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 22:42:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 22:52:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 23:02:16	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 23:12:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 23:22:15	7.07	4.50	1.36
2026-09-09 23:32:16	7.01	4.48	1.36
2026-09-09 23:32:17	7.45	4.60	1.37
2026-09-09 23:42:15	7.07	4.50	1.36

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Parceiro Nagano	0 : 0	Mito Hollyhock