경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J-League Cup Japan · Round of 128

Kochi UnitedHOME · 4.69

0 : 12026.09.09 · 종료

V-varen NagasakiAWAY · 1.62

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.4%

DRAW16.2%

AWAY14.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 71/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.0%

VALUE EDGE+50.0%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +34.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +5.0%p

MARKET AWAY -36.9%p

SEASON_STATS EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Kochi United분석 지표V-varen Nagasaki

8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

0.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

2.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

71/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지14.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도5.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승26.8%표본 56경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.4%현재 이동 -15.6%

OPEN → NOW5.55 → 4.69배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

69.4%

DRAW

16.2%

AWAY

14.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Kochi United

L · 2-0L · 0-2W · 2-1L · 3-0L · 7-0

V-varen Nagasaki

L · 3-1D · 2-2L · 0-3W · 3-2L · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.28

→

CURRENT4.69

-11.31%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.00

→

CURRENT3.78

-5.52%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.52

→

CURRENT1.61

+5.70%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 09:42:12	5.28	4.00	1.52
2026-09-09 09:52:14	5.28	4.00	1.52
2026-09-09 10:02:14	5.28	4.00	1.52
2026-09-09 10:12:12	5.28	4.00	1.52
2026-09-09 10:22:13	5.28	4.00	1.52
2026-09-09 12:32:13	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 12:42:13	5.01	3.91	1.53
2026-09-09 12:42:14	5.14	3.97	1.56
2026-09-09 12:52:15	5.05	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 12:52:16	5.13	4.00	1.56
2026-09-09 13:02:14	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 13:12:14	5.04	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 13:12:15	5.20	3.95	1.56
2026-09-09 13:22:15	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 13:32:15	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 13:42:13	4.80	3.85	1.53
2026-09-09 13:42:14	5.09	3.95	1.54
2026-09-09 13:52:15	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 14:02:13	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 14:12:13	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 14:22:15	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 14:32:14	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 14:42:14	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 14:52:16	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 15:02:15	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 15:12:14	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 15:22:16	5.07	3.94	1.54
2026-09-09 15:32:15	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 15:42:14	4.85	3.82	1.53
2026-09-09 15:42:15	5.13	3.95	1.54
2026-09-09 15:52:15	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 16:02:14	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 16:12:13	5.08	3.91	1.52
2026-09-09 16:12:14	5.05	3.95	1.56
2026-09-09 16:22:15	5.05	3.90	1.53
2026-09-09 16:22:16	5.13	4.00	1.56
2026-09-09 16:32:14	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 16:42:15	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 16:52:16	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 17:02:15	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 17:12:15	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 17:22:16	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 17:32:15	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 17:42:13	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 17:52:17	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 18:02:14	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 18:12:14	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 18:22:16	5.07	3.92	1.54
2026-09-09 18:32:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 18:42:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 18:52:17	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 19:02:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 19:12:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 19:22:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 19:32:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 19:42:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 19:52:17	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 20:02:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 20:12:13	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 20:22:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 20:32:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 20:42:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 21:02:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 21:12:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 21:22:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 21:32:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 21:42:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 21:52:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 22:02:15	4.67	3.76	1.60
2026-09-09 22:02:16	4.90	4.00	1.68
2026-09-09 22:12:14	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 22:22:17	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 22:32:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 22:42:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 22:52:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 23:02:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 23:12:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 23:22:15	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 23:32:16	4.69	3.78	1.61
2026-09-09 23:42:15	4.69	3.78	1.61

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Kochi United	0 : 1	V-varen Nagasaki