경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Iraqi League Iraq · Regular Season - 9

Naft MaysanHOME · 3.85

1 : 12026.10.09 · 종료

ErbilAWAY · 1.84

HOME · 현재 순위 18위 승점 7 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 3위 승점 17 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME10.0%

DRAW38.9%

AWAY51.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM58 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 58/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.5% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +11.1%

VALUE EDGE+11.1%

FAIR ODDS2.57

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 69/100 · MEDIUM RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -33.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -24.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET AWAY -25.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Naft Maysan분석 지표Erbil

12.5% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 62.5%

0.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.38 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.38

25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

14.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 14.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

58/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지11.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.8 / 15

예측 분리도5.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME23.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승22.4%표본 58경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승39.7%현재 이동 +6.9%

OPEN → NOW3.60 → 3.85배당 업데이트 2026-10-08 23:52:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

10.0%

DRAW

38.9%

AWAY

51.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Naft Maysan

L · 3-2W · 2-0D · 1-1L · 0-2D · 1-1

Erbil

W · 0-3L · 1-2W · 2-0D · 0-0W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.64

→

CURRENT3.90

+7.25%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.27

→

CURRENT3.23

-1.26%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.90

→

CURRENT1.84

-3.26%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-10-08 11:22:11	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 11:32:12	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 11:42:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 11:52:11	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 12:02:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 12:12:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 12:22:10	3.63	3.24	1.89
2026-10-08 12:22:11	3.70	3.40	1.95
2026-10-08 12:32:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 12:42:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 12:52:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 13:02:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 13:12:09	3.65	3.25	1.86
2026-10-08 13:12:10	3.63	3.28	1.93
2026-10-08 13:22:11	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 13:32:11	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 13:42:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 13:52:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 14:02:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 14:12:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 14:22:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 14:32:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 14:42:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 14:52:11	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 15:02:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 15:12:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 15:22:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 15:32:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 15:42:11	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 15:52:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 16:02:10	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 16:12:09	3.64	3.27	1.90
2026-10-08 16:22:11	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 16:32:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 16:42:10	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 16:52:10	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 17:02:11	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 17:12:10	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 17:22:10	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 17:32:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 17:42:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 17:52:11	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 18:02:11	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 18:12:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 18:22:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 18:32:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 18:42:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 18:52:10	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 19:02:10	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 19:12:09	3.76	3.23	1.87
2026-10-08 19:22:09	3.97	3.21	1.82
2026-10-08 19:22:10	3.81	3.24	1.87
2026-10-08 19:32:11	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 19:42:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 19:52:10	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 20:02:10	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 20:12:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 20:22:10	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 20:32:11	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 20:42:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 20:52:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 21:02:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 21:12:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 21:22:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 21:32:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 21:42:08	3.90	3.20	1.83
2026-10-08 21:42:09	3.85	3.30	1.89
2026-10-08 21:52:10	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 22:02:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 22:12:09	3.89	3.22	1.85
2026-10-08 22:22:10	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 22:32:10	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 22:42:11	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 22:52:11	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 23:02:10	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 23:12:10	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 23:22:11	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 23:32:10	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 23:42:11	3.90	3.23	1.84
2026-10-08 23:52:10	3.90	3.23	1.84

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.10.09	Naft Maysan	1 : 1	Erbil