경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Iraqi League Iraq · Regular Season - 7

ErbilHOME · 2.62

1 : 22026.09.15 · 종료

Al-KarmaAWAY · 2.83

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 14 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 14 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.8%

DRAW22.2%

AWAY9.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW41 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 41/100

AI PICK HOME 45.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +34.4%

VALUE EDGE+34.4%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 100/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -0.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +5.7%p

MARKET HOME +2.5%p

SEASON_STATS EVEN +0.0%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Erbil분석 지표Al-Karma

62.5% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 71.4%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.71

0.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.57

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

41/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지8.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도8.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME34.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승28.0%표본 50경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승42.2%현재 이동 +4.2%

OPEN → NOW2.51 → 2.62배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:24

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

68.8%

DRAW

22.2%

AWAY

9.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Erbil

W · 2-0D · 0-0W · 2-0W · 0-1D · 1-1

Al-Karma

W · 3-0W · 1-2W · 2-0D · 1-1W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.49

→

CURRENT2.64

+6.17%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.00

→

CURRENT2.63

-12.39%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.65

→

CURRENT2.83

+6.60%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 12:33:40	2.49	3.00	2.65
2026-09-14 12:33:41	2.65	3.00	2.52
2026-09-14 12:42:22	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 12:52:42	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 13:02:49	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 13:12:35	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 13:23:02	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 13:33:08	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 13:42:24	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 13:52:41	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 14:02:46	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 14:12:24	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 14:22:47	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 14:33:01	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 14:42:43	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 14:53:08	2.47	3.00	2.68
2026-09-14 14:53:09	2.59	3.00	2.56
2026-09-14 15:03:09	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 15:12:21	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 15:22:51	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 15:33:09	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 15:42:27	2.49	3.00	2.65
2026-09-14 15:42:28	2.65	3.00	2.52
2026-09-14 15:52:56	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 16:03:04	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 16:12:20	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 16:23:00	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 16:33:02	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 16:42:20	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 16:52:45	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 17:02:48	2.40	3.00	2.75
2026-09-14 17:02:49	2.57	3.00	2.57
2026-09-14 17:12:40	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 17:22:55	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 17:33:23	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 17:42:23	2.40	3.00	2.75
2026-09-14 17:42:24	2.57	3.00	2.57
2026-09-14 17:52:42	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 18:03:09	2.49	3.00	2.65
2026-09-14 18:03:10	2.65	3.00	2.52
2026-09-14 18:12:39	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 18:23:19	2.49	3.00	2.65
2026-09-14 18:23:20	2.65	3.00	2.52
2026-09-14 18:34:17	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 18:42:22	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 18:52:55	2.53	3.00	2.62
2026-09-14 19:03:05	2.49	3.00	2.65
2026-09-14 19:03:06	2.65	3.00	2.52
2026-09-14 19:12:40	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 19:23:31	2.45	2.90	2.69
2026-09-14 19:23:32	2.71	2.49	2.93
2026-09-14 19:33:58	2.60	2.66	2.83
2026-09-14 19:33:59	2.75	2.45	2.95
2026-09-14 19:42:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 19:52:23	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 20:02:20	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 20:12:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 20:22:23	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 20:32:22	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 20:42:22	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 20:52:23	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 21:02:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 21:12:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 21:22:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 21:32:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 21:42:20	2.50	2.80	2.62
2026-09-14 21:42:21	2.65	2.59	2.89
2026-09-14 21:52:23	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 22:02:21	2.63	2.63	2.85
2026-09-14 22:12:24	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 22:22:43	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 22:32:22	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 22:42:21	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 22:52:25	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 23:02:21	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 23:12:22	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 23:22:24	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 23:32:22	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 23:42:22	2.64	2.63	2.83
2026-09-14 23:52:24	2.64	2.63	2.83

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Erbil	1 : 2	Al-Karma