LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Serie D - Girone E Italy · Group E - 6
TernanaHOME · 1.71
4 : 12026.10.04 · 종료
Montevarchi CalcioAWAY · 4.55
HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 4 · 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.4%
DRAW19.3%
AWAY11.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW23 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 23/100
AI PICK HOME 45.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +15.1%
VALUE EDGE+15.1%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 71/100 · HIGH RISK
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
MARKET HOME +33.9%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Ternana분석 지표Montevarchi Calcio
20.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33
0.80 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17
50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

23/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지4.6 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본0.0 / 10
모델 일치도11.7 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승60.2%표본 98경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW1.71 → 1.71배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:14

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
69.4%
DRAW
19.3%
AWAY
11.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Ternana
D · 0-0W · 3-0L · 2-1D · 1-1L · 1-0
Montevarchi Calcio
W · 2-0L · 3-0D · 1-1W · 4-1L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+4.0%+2.0%0.0%-2.0%-4.0%10/03 12:1510/04 10:2210/04 11:4210/04 13:4210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:12:44HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:32:58HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:16HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:22:45HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:22:46HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:13HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:27HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:22:42HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:42:13HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:02:20HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:22:54HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:42:48HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:02:31HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:22:31HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:42:23HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:22:40HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:42:13HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:02:33HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:22:27HOME · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:12:44DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:32:58DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:22:45DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:22:46DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:27DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:22:42DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:02:20DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:22:54DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:42:48DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:02:31DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:22:31DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:22:40DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:02:33DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:22:27DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:42:14AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:12:44AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:32:58AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:16AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:22:45AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:22:46AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:13AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:27AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:22:42AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:42:13AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:02:20AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:22:54AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:42:48AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:02:31AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:22:31AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:42:23AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:22:40AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:42:13AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:02:33AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:22:27AWAY · 배당 4.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:42:14
HOME25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.71
→
CURRENT1.71
+0.00%UNCHANGED
DRAW25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.67
→
CURRENT3.67
+0.00%UNCHANGED
AWAY25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.55
→
CURRENT4.55
+0.00%UNCHANGED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 12:15:041.713.674.55
2026-10-04 09:12:441.713.674.55
2026-10-04 09:32:581.713.674.55
2026-10-04 10:02:151.713.674.55
2026-10-04 10:02:161.713.674.55
2026-10-04 10:22:451.713.674.55
2026-10-04 10:22:461.713.674.55
2026-10-04 10:42:121.713.674.55
2026-10-04 10:42:131.713.674.55
2026-10-04 11:02:261.713.674.55
2026-10-04 11:02:271.713.674.55
2026-10-04 11:22:421.713.674.55
2026-10-04 11:42:131.713.674.55
2026-10-04 12:02:201.713.674.55
2026-10-04 12:22:541.713.674.55
2026-10-04 12:42:481.713.674.55
2026-10-04 13:02:311.713.674.55
2026-10-04 13:22:311.713.674.55
2026-10-04 13:42:231.713.674.55
2026-10-04 14:02:131.713.674.55
2026-10-04 14:22:401.713.674.55
2026-10-04 14:42:131.713.674.55
2026-10-04 15:02:331.713.674.55
2026-10-04 15:22:271.713.674.55
2026-10-04 15:42:141.713.674.55

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Ternana4 : 1Montevarchi Calcio