LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Serie D - Girone D Italy · Group D - 6
VaresinaHOME · 4.25
0 : 02026.10.04 · 종료
Pro PatriaAWAY · 1.68
HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 4 · 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 9 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.1%
DRAW26.3%
AWAY39.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW23 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 23/100
AI PICK AWAY 32.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +13.0%
VALUE EDGE+13.0%
FAIR ODDS2.93
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 19/100 · HIGH RISK
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
MARKET AWAY -32.2%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Varesina분석 지표Pro Patria
20.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 87.5%
1.40 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.50
2.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00
50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 100.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

23/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지4.6 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본0.0 / 10
모델 일치도11.7 / 15
예측 분리도2.4 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승22.4%표본 67경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.4%현재 이동 -7.6%
OPEN → NOW4.60 → 4.25배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:13

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
34.1%
DRAW
26.3%
AWAY
39.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Varesina
L · 4-2L · 0-1L · 2-1D · 1-1W · 3-2
Pro Patria
L · 0-1W · 0-3W · 2-0W · 2-3W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+16.0%+8.0%0.0%-8.0%-16.0%10/03 00:1510/04 11:0210/04 12:2210/04 13:4210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 4.60 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:29HOME · 배당 4.60 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 09:12:42HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 09:32:57HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 10:22:43HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12HOME · 배당 4.13 · 변동 -10.33% · 2026-10-04 11:02:25HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -9.93% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 11:22:38HOME · 배당 4.34 · 변동 -5.65% · 2026-10-04 11:22:39HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 11:42:12HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 12:02:18HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 12:22:52HOME · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -9.35% · 2026-10-04 12:22:53HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 12:42:46HOME · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -9.35% · 2026-10-04 12:42:47HOME · 배당 4.07 · 변동 -11.52% · 2026-10-04 13:02:29HOME · 배당 4.40 · 변동 -4.35% · 2026-10-04 13:02:30HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 13:22:30HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 13:42:21HOME · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -9.35% · 2026-10-04 13:42:22HOME · 배당 4.13 · 변동 -10.33% · 2026-10-04 14:02:12HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -9.93% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 14:22:38HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 14:42:12HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 15:02:31HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 15:22:26HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 15:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:29DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 09:12:42DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 09:32:57DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 10:22:43DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -9.16% · 2026-10-04 11:02:25DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 -6.54% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 -11.52% · 2026-10-04 11:22:38DRAW · 배당 3.76 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-04 11:22:39DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 11:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 12:02:18DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 12:22:52DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 12:22:53DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 12:42:46DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 12:42:47DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 13:02:29DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 13:02:30DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 13:22:30DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 13:42:21DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 13:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -9.16% · 2026-10-04 14:02:12DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 -6.54% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 14:22:38DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 14:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 15:02:31DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 15:22:26DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 15:42:13AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:29AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 09:12:42AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 09:32:57AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:22:43AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12AWAY · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +2.10% · 2026-10-04 11:02:25AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-10-04 11:22:38AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 +2.69% · 2026-10-04 11:22:39AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 11:42:12AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 12:02:18AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +3.59% · 2026-10-04 12:22:52AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 12:22:53AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +3.59% · 2026-10-04 12:42:46AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 12:42:47AWAY · 배당 1.70 · 변동 +1.65% · 2026-10-04 13:02:29AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:02:30AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 13:22:30AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +3.59% · 2026-10-04 13:42:21AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 13:42:22AWAY · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +2.10% · 2026-10-04 14:02:12AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 14:22:38AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 14:42:12AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:02:31AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:22:26AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:42:13
HOME29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.60
→
CURRENT4.14
-10.09%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.82
→
CURRENT3.53
-7.59%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.67
→
CURRENT1.69
+1.32%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:15:294.603.821.67
2026-10-03 12:15:044.603.821.67
2026-10-04 09:12:424.143.531.69
2026-10-04 09:32:574.143.531.69
2026-10-04 10:02:154.143.531.69
2026-10-04 10:22:434.143.531.69
2026-10-04 10:42:124.143.531.69
2026-10-04 11:02:254.133.471.71
2026-10-04 11:02:264.143.571.68
2026-10-04 11:22:384.003.381.68
2026-10-04 11:22:394.343.761.72
2026-10-04 11:42:124.143.531.69
2026-10-04 12:02:184.143.531.69
2026-10-04 12:22:524.003.501.73
2026-10-04 12:22:534.173.541.68
2026-10-04 12:42:464.003.501.73
2026-10-04 12:42:474.173.541.68
2026-10-04 13:02:294.073.541.70
2026-10-04 13:02:304.403.501.67
2026-10-04 13:22:304.143.531.69
2026-10-04 13:42:214.003.501.73
2026-10-04 13:42:224.173.541.68
2026-10-04 14:02:124.133.471.71
2026-10-04 14:02:134.143.571.68
2026-10-04 14:22:384.143.531.69
2026-10-04 14:42:124.143.531.69
2026-10-04 15:02:314.143.531.69
2026-10-04 15:22:264.143.531.69
2026-10-04 15:42:134.143.531.69

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Varesina0 : 0Pro Patria