경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Serie D - Girone D
Italy · Group D - 6
Varesina HOME · 4.25
0 : 0 2026.10.04 · 종료
Pro Patria AWAY · 1.68
HOME · 현재 순위
7위
승점 4
· 3경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 9
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 34.1%
DRAW 26.3%
AWAY 39.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 23 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 21.1% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 22.4% 표본 67경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 0.0% 표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 49.4% 현재 이동 -7.6%
OPEN → NOW 4.60 → 4.25 배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:13
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Varesina L · 4-2 L · 0-1 L · 2-1 D · 1-1 W · 3-2
Pro Patria L · 0-1 W · 0-3 W · 2-0 W · 2-3 W · 2-1
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+16.0% +8.0% 0.0% -8.0% -16.0% 10/03 00:15 10/04 11:02 10/04 12:22 10/04 13:42 10/04 15:42 HOME · 배당 4.60 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:29 HOME · 배당 4.60 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 09:12:42 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 09:32:57 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 10:22:43 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12 HOME · 배당 4.13 · 변동 -10.33% · 2026-10-04 11:02:25 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -9.93% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26 HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 11:22:38 HOME · 배당 4.34 · 변동 -5.65% · 2026-10-04 11:22:39 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 11:42:12 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 12:02:18 HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 12:22:52 HOME · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -9.35% · 2026-10-04 12:22:53 HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 12:42:46 HOME · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -9.35% · 2026-10-04 12:42:47 HOME · 배당 4.07 · 변동 -11.52% · 2026-10-04 13:02:29 HOME · 배당 4.40 · 변동 -4.35% · 2026-10-04 13:02:30 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 13:22:30 HOME · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -13.04% · 2026-10-04 13:42:21 HOME · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -9.35% · 2026-10-04 13:42:22 HOME · 배당 4.13 · 변동 -10.33% · 2026-10-04 14:02:12 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -9.93% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 14:22:38 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 14:42:12 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 15:02:31 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 15:22:26 HOME · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -10.09% · 2026-10-04 15:42:13 DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:29 DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 09:12:42 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 09:32:57 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 10:22:43 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12 DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -9.16% · 2026-10-04 11:02:25 DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 -6.54% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26 DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 -11.52% · 2026-10-04 11:22:38 DRAW · 배당 3.76 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-04 11:22:39 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 11:42:12 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 12:02:18 DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 12:22:52 DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 12:22:53 DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 12:42:46 DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 12:42:47 DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 13:02:29 DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 13:02:30 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 13:22:30 DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 13:42:21 DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -7.40% · 2026-10-04 13:42:22 DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -9.16% · 2026-10-04 14:02:12 DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 -6.54% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 14:22:38 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 14:42:12 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 15:02:31 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 15:22:26 DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-10-04 15:42:13 AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:29 AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:04 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 09:12:42 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 09:32:57 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:02:15 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:22:43 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:42:12 AWAY · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +2.10% · 2026-10-04 11:02:25 AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-04 11:02:26 AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-10-04 11:22:38 AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 +2.69% · 2026-10-04 11:22:39 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 11:42:12 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 12:02:18 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +3.59% · 2026-10-04 12:22:52 AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 12:22:53 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +3.59% · 2026-10-04 12:42:46 AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 12:42:47 AWAY · 배당 1.70 · 변동 +1.65% · 2026-10-04 13:02:29 AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:02:30 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 13:22:30 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +3.59% · 2026-10-04 13:42:21 AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 13:42:22 AWAY · 배당 1.71 · 변동 +2.10% · 2026-10-04 14:02:12 AWAY · 배당 1.68 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:02:13 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 14:22:38 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 14:42:12 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:02:31 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:22:26 AWAY · 배당 1.69 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:42:13
HOME29 SNAPSHOTS
-10.09%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW29 SNAPSHOTS
-7.59%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY29 SNAPSHOTS
+1.32%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-10-03 00:15:29 4.60 3.82 1.67 2026-10-03 12:15:04 4.60 3.82 1.67 2026-10-04 09:12:42 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 09:32:57 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 10:02:15 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 10:22:43 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 10:42:12 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 11:02:25 4.13 3.47 1.71 2026-10-04 11:02:26 4.14 3.57 1.68 2026-10-04 11:22:38 4.00 3.38 1.68 2026-10-04 11:22:39 4.34 3.76 1.72 2026-10-04 11:42:12 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 12:02:18 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 12:22:52 4.00 3.50 1.73 2026-10-04 12:22:53 4.17 3.54 1.68 2026-10-04 12:42:46 4.00 3.50 1.73 2026-10-04 12:42:47 4.17 3.54 1.68 2026-10-04 13:02:29 4.07 3.54 1.70 2026-10-04 13:02:30 4.40 3.50 1.67 2026-10-04 13:22:30 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 13:42:21 4.00 3.50 1.73 2026-10-04 13:42:22 4.17 3.54 1.68 2026-10-04 14:02:12 4.13 3.47 1.71 2026-10-04 14:02:13 4.14 3.57 1.68 2026-10-04 14:22:38 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 14:42:12 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 15:02:31 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 15:22:26 4.14 3.53 1.69 2026-10-04 15:42:13 4.14 3.53 1.69
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.10.04 Varesina 0 : 0 Pro Patria