LIVE 23 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

UEFA Nations League World · League A - 4
NetherlandsHOME · 1.15
2 : 12026.10.05 · 종료
SerbiaAWAY · 17.00
HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 8 · 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 0 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME95.8%
DRAW3.3%
AWAY0.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH78 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 88/100
AI PICK HOME 70.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +13.3%
VALUE EDGE+13.3%
FAIR ODDS1.04
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +52.3%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +54.2%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +14.4%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +42.0%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
MARKET HOME +77.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Netherlands분석 지표Serbia
45.5% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%
1.91 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.71
1.18 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.57
37.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

78/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.5 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도10.8 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME82.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승88.9%표본 9경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -1.7%
OPEN → NOW1.17 → 1.15배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:32:26

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
95.8%
DRAW
3.3%
AWAY
0.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Netherlands
D · 2-2W · 1-2D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 1-3
Serbia
L · 2-0L · 1-2L · 1-2L · 5-1L · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+20.0%+10.0%0.0%-10.0%-20.0%10/03 00:1510/04 10:3210/04 12:3310/04 13:5210/04 15:32HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:07HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-10-04 09:02:31HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-10-04 09:22:41HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-10-04 09:52:31HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-10-04 10:12:10HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -1.49% · 2026-10-04 10:32:27HOME · 배당 1.18 · 변동 +1.34% · 2026-10-04 10:32:28HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 10:52:31HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 11:12:17HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 11:32:29HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 11:52:26HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 12:12:19HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-04 12:33:21HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.17% · 2026-10-04 12:33:22HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 12:52:23HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-10-04 13:12:26HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-04 13:32:31HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-04 13:52:21HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-04 14:12:11HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-04 14:32:18HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-04 14:52:31HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.73% · 2026-10-04 14:52:32HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-04 15:12:10HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-04 15:32:26DRAW · 배당 7.22 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:07DRAW · 배당 7.51 · 변동 +3.94% · 2026-10-04 09:02:31DRAW · 배당 7.51 · 변동 +3.94% · 2026-10-04 09:22:41DRAW · 배당 7.51 · 변동 +3.94% · 2026-10-04 09:52:31DRAW · 배당 7.51 · 변동 +3.94% · 2026-10-04 10:12:10DRAW · 배당 7.54 · 변동 +4.36% · 2026-10-04 10:32:27DRAW · 배당 8.10 · 변동 +12.14% · 2026-10-04 10:32:28DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 10:52:31DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 11:12:17DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 11:32:29DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 11:52:26DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 12:12:19DRAW · 배당 7.54 · 변동 +4.38% · 2026-10-04 12:33:21DRAW · 배당 7.82 · 변동 +8.23% · 2026-10-04 12:33:22DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 12:52:23DRAW · 배당 7.66 · 변동 +6.09% · 2026-10-04 13:12:26DRAW · 배당 7.78 · 변동 +7.64% · 2026-10-04 13:32:31DRAW · 배당 7.78 · 변동 +7.64% · 2026-10-04 13:52:21DRAW · 배당 7.78 · 변동 +7.64% · 2026-10-04 14:12:11DRAW · 배당 7.78 · 변동 +7.64% · 2026-10-04 14:32:18DRAW · 배당 7.55 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-10-04 14:52:31DRAW · 배당 7.96 · 변동 +10.14% · 2026-10-04 14:52:32DRAW · 배당 7.78 · 변동 +7.64% · 2026-10-04 15:12:10DRAW · 배당 7.78 · 변동 +7.64% · 2026-10-04 15:32:26AWAY · 배당 14.47 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:07AWAY · 배당 15.58 · 변동 +7.65% · 2026-10-04 09:02:31AWAY · 배당 15.58 · 변동 +7.65% · 2026-10-04 09:22:41AWAY · 배당 15.58 · 변동 +7.65% · 2026-10-04 09:52:31AWAY · 배당 15.58 · 변동 +7.65% · 2026-10-04 10:12:10AWAY · 배당 15.52 · 변동 +7.24% · 2026-10-04 10:32:27AWAY · 배당 17.00 · 변동 +17.46% · 2026-10-04 10:32:28AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 10:52:31AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 11:12:17AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 11:32:29AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 11:52:26AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 12:12:19AWAY · 배당 16.35 · 변동 +12.97% · 2026-10-04 12:33:21AWAY · 배당 15.23 · 변동 +5.19% · 2026-10-04 12:33:22AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 12:52:23AWAY · 배당 15.85 · 변동 +9.51% · 2026-10-04 13:12:26AWAY · 배당 16.19 · 변동 +11.83% · 2026-10-04 13:32:31AWAY · 배당 16.19 · 변동 +11.83% · 2026-10-04 13:52:21AWAY · 배당 16.19 · 변동 +11.83% · 2026-10-04 14:12:11AWAY · 배당 16.19 · 변동 +11.83% · 2026-10-04 14:32:18AWAY · 배당 16.69 · 변동 +15.30% · 2026-10-04 14:52:31AWAY · 배당 15.78 · 변동 +9.06% · 2026-10-04 14:52:32AWAY · 배당 16.19 · 변동 +11.83% · 2026-10-04 15:12:10AWAY · 배당 16.19 · 변동 +11.83% · 2026-10-04 15:32:26
HOME24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.16
→
CURRENT1.16
-0.76%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN7.22
→
CURRENT7.78
+7.64%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN14.47
→
CURRENT16.19
+11.83%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:15:071.167.2214.47
2026-10-04 09:02:311.167.5115.58
2026-10-04 09:22:411.167.5115.58
2026-10-04 09:52:311.167.5115.58
2026-10-04 10:12:101.167.5115.58
2026-10-04 10:32:271.157.5415.52
2026-10-04 10:32:281.188.1017.00
2026-10-04 10:52:311.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 11:12:171.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 11:32:291.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 11:52:261.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 12:12:191.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 12:33:211.157.5416.35
2026-10-04 12:33:221.167.8215.23
2026-10-04 12:52:231.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 13:12:261.157.6615.85
2026-10-04 13:32:311.167.7816.19
2026-10-04 13:52:211.167.7816.19
2026-10-04 14:12:111.167.7816.19
2026-10-04 14:32:181.167.7816.19
2026-10-04 14:52:311.167.5516.69
2026-10-04 14:52:321.167.9615.78
2026-10-04 15:12:101.167.7816.19
2026-10-04 15:32:261.167.7816.19

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Netherlands2 : 1Serbia
2026.09.28Serbia1 : 2Netherlands