경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
UEFA Nations League
World · League A - 4
Wales HOME · 3.75
0 : 1 2026.10.05 · 종료
Denmark AWAY · 1.96
HOME · 현재 순위
3위
승점 3
· 4경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 6
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 36.5%
DRAW 28.0%
AWAY 35.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 35 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 25.3% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 27.3% 표본 44경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 0.0% 표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 48.9% 현재 이동 -3.8%
OPEN → NOW 3.90 → 3.75 배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:32:28
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Wales W · 2-1 L · 2-0 L · 1-0 L · 2-1 D · 1-1
Denmark L · 2-4 W · 2-0 L · 3-2 W · 2-1 D · 0-0
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+8.0% +4.0% 0.0% -4.0% -8.0% 10/03 00:15 10/04 10:32 10/04 12:12 10/04 13:52 10/04 15:32 HOME · 배당 3.80 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:08 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.92% · 2026-10-04 09:02:32 HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -5.34% · 2026-10-04 09:22:43 HOME · 배당 3.84 · 변동 +1.05% · 2026-10-04 09:22:44 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.92% · 2026-10-04 09:52:33 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.92% · 2026-10-04 10:12:11 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 10:32:29 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 10:52:33 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 11:12:18 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 11:32:31 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 11:52:28 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 12:12:21 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 12:33:25 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.51% · 2026-10-04 12:52:24 HOME · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -4.47% · 2026-10-04 12:52:25 HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -3.83% · 2026-10-04 13:12:28 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 13:32:33 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 13:52:23 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 14:12:12 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 14:32:19 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 14:52:33 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 15:12:11 HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -3.36% · 2026-10-04 15:32:28 DRAW · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:08 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-10-04 09:02:32 DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 09:22:43 DRAW · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +2.74% · 2026-10-04 09:22:44 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-10-04 09:52:33 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-10-04 10:12:11 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 10:32:29 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 10:52:33 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 11:12:18 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 11:32:31 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 11:52:28 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 12:12:21 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 12:33:25 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-10-04 12:52:24 DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -1.99% · 2026-10-04 12:52:25 DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 13:12:28 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 13:32:33 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 13:52:23 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:12:12 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:32:19 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:52:33 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 15:12:11 DRAW · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 15:32:28 AWAY · 배당 1.90 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:08 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.68% · 2026-10-04 09:02:32 AWAY · 배당 1.96 · 변동 +3.11% · 2026-10-04 09:22:43 AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +5.67% · 2026-10-04 09:22:44 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.68% · 2026-10-04 09:52:33 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.68% · 2026-10-04 10:12:11 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 10:32:29 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 10:52:33 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 11:12:18 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 11:32:31 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 11:52:28 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 12:12:21 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 12:33:25 AWAY · 배당 1.95 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-04 12:52:24 AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 +4.79% · 2026-10-04 12:52:25 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-10-04 13:12:28 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 13:32:33 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 13:52:23 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 14:12:12 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 14:32:19 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 14:52:33 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 15:12:11 AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.62% · 2026-10-04 15:32:28
HOME23 SNAPSHOTS
-3.36%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW23 SNAPSHOTS
-0.80%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY23 SNAPSHOTS
+3.62%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-10-03 00:15:08 3.80 3.63 1.90 2026-10-04 09:02:32 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 09:22:43 3.60 3.55 1.96 2026-10-04 09:22:44 3.84 3.73 2.01 2026-10-04 09:52:33 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 10:12:11 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 10:32:29 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 10:52:33 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 11:12:18 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 11:32:31 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 11:52:28 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 12:12:21 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 12:33:25 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 12:52:24 3.67 3.60 1.95 2026-10-04 12:52:25 3.63 3.55 1.99 2026-10-04 13:12:28 3.65 3.59 1.97 2026-10-04 13:32:33 3.67 3.60 1.97 2026-10-04 13:52:23 3.67 3.60 1.97 2026-10-04 14:12:12 3.67 3.60 1.97 2026-10-04 14:32:19 3.67 3.60 1.97 2026-10-04 14:52:33 3.67 3.60 1.97 2026-10-04 15:12:11 3.67 3.60 1.97 2026-10-04 15:32:28 3.67 3.60 1.97
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.10.05 Wales 0 : 1 Denmark 2026.09.28 Denmark 2 : 0 Wales