경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
UEFA Nations League
World · League B - 3
FYR Macedonia HOME · 4.85
0 : 2 2026.10.04 · 종료
Scotland AWAY · 1.75
HOME · 현재 순위
4위
승점 0
· 4경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 4
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 5.5%
DRAW 18.9%
AWAY 75.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 20 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 19.2% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 11.1% 표본 9경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 0.0% 표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 46.9% 현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW 4.85 → 4.85 배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:32:23
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
FYR Macedonia L · 2-0 L · 0-3 L · 4-0 D · 0-0 D · 0-0
Scotland L · 0-3 D · 0-0 L · 0-3 L · 0-1 W · 0-1
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+24.0% +12.0% 0.0% -12.0% -24.0% 10/03 00:02 10/03 03:12 10/03 09:22 10/03 12:22 10/03 15:32 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:16 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:15 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 -3.86% · 2026-10-03 01:12:25 HOME · 배당 5.00 · 변동 +13.49% · 2026-10-03 01:12:26 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 01:42:16 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 02:12:17 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 02:42:17 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 03:12:17 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 03:42:16 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 04:12:16 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 04:42:18 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 05:12:18 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 05:42:17 HOME · 배당 4.41 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-10-03 06:12:16 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.76% · 2026-10-03 09:22:19 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.76% · 2026-10-03 09:52:20 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.76% · 2026-10-03 10:22:20 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 10:52:20 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 11:22:20 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 11:52:21 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 12:22:23 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 12:52:18 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 13:22:21 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 13:52:20 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 14:22:19 HOME · 배당 4.44 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-03 14:52:23 HOME · 배당 4.33 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-10-03 15:32:22 HOME · 배당 5.30 · 변동 +20.30% · 2026-10-03 15:32:23 DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:16 DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:15 DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 -1.27% · 2026-10-03 01:12:25 DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +4.45% · 2026-10-03 01:12:26 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 01:42:16 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 02:12:17 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 02:42:17 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 03:12:17 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 03:42:16 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 04:12:16 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 04:42:18 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 05:12:18 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 05:42:17 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 06:12:16 DRAW · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-10-03 09:22:19 DRAW · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-10-03 09:52:20 DRAW · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-10-03 10:22:20 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 10:52:20 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 11:22:20 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 11:52:21 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 12:22:23 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 12:52:18 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 13:22:21 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 13:52:20 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 14:22:19 DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-10-03 14:52:23 DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 -1.11% · 2026-10-03 15:32:22 DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 +6.79% · 2026-10-03 15:32:23 AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:16 AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:15 AWAY · 배당 1.71 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 01:12:25 AWAY · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +3.29% · 2026-10-03 01:12:26 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 01:42:16 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 02:12:17 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 02:42:17 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 03:12:17 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 03:42:16 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 04:12:16 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 04:42:18 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 05:12:18 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 05:42:17 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-10-03 06:12:16 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 09:22:19 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 09:52:20 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-10-03 10:22:20 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 10:52:20 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 11:22:20 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 11:52:21 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 12:22:23 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 12:52:18 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 13:22:21 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 13:52:20 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 14:22:19 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.64% · 2026-10-03 14:52:23 AWAY · 배당 1.73 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-10-03 15:32:22 AWAY · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +3.29% · 2026-10-03 15:32:23
HOME28 SNAPSHOTS
+20.30%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW28 SNAPSHOTS
+6.79%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY28 SNAPSHOTS
+3.29%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-10-03 00:02:16 4.41 3.42 1.72 2026-10-03 00:42:15 4.41 3.42 1.72 2026-10-03 01:12:25 4.24 3.37 1.71 2026-10-03 01:12:26 5.00 3.57 1.78 2026-10-03 01:42:16 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 02:12:17 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 02:42:17 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 03:12:17 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 03:42:16 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 04:12:16 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 04:42:18 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 05:12:18 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 05:42:17 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 06:12:16 4.41 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 09:22:19 4.44 3.43 1.73 2026-10-03 09:52:20 4.44 3.43 1.73 2026-10-03 10:22:20 4.44 3.43 1.73 2026-10-03 10:52:20 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 11:22:20 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 11:52:21 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 12:22:23 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 12:52:18 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 13:22:21 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 13:52:20 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 14:22:19 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 14:52:23 4.44 3.41 1.73 2026-10-03 15:32:22 4.33 3.38 1.73 2026-10-03 15:32:23 5.30 3.65 1.78
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.10.04 FYR Macedonia 0 : 2 Scotland