경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
UEFA Nations League
World · League A - 3
Croatia HOME · 4.33
0 : 7 2026.10.04 · 종료
England AWAY · 1.78
HOME · 현재 순위
3위
승점 3
· 4경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 9
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 14.1%
DRAW 15.1%
AWAY 70.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 36 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 22.0% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 33.3% 표본 30경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 0.0% 표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 39.7% 현재 이동 +6.9%
OPEN → NOW 4.05 → 4.33 배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:32:20
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Croatia L · 4-1 W · 1-2 L · 2-1 W · 2-1 W · 0-1
England W · 0-2 L · 2-3 W · 4-6 L · 1-2 W · 1-2
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+8.0% +4.0% 0.0% -4.0% -8.0% 10/03 00:02 10/03 03:42 10/03 09:22 10/03 12:22 10/03 15:32 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:14 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:14 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:24 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 01:42:15 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 02:12:15 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 02:42:16 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 03:12:15 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 03:42:15 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 04:12:14 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 04:42:16 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 05:12:16 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 05:42:16 HOME · 배당 4.01 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 06:12:15 HOME · 배당 4.07 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-03 09:22:17 HOME · 배당 4.07 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-03 09:52:17 HOME · 배당 4.04 · 변동 +0.89% · 2026-10-03 10:22:17 HOME · 배당 4.08 · 변동 +1.84% · 2026-10-03 10:22:18 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 10:52:18 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 11:22:18 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 11:52:19 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 12:22:21 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 12:52:16 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 13:22:19 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 13:52:18 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 14:22:17 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 14:52:20 HOME · 배당 4.24 · 변동 +5.88% · 2026-10-03 15:32:20 DRAW · 배당 3.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:14 DRAW · 배당 3.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:14 DRAW · 배당 3.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:24 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 01:42:15 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 02:12:15 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 02:42:16 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 03:12:15 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 03:42:15 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 04:12:14 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 04:42:16 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 05:12:16 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 05:42:16 DRAW · 배당 3.86 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-10-03 06:12:15 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.55% · 2026-10-03 09:22:17 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.55% · 2026-10-03 09:52:17 DRAW · 배당 3.90 · 변동 +1.42% · 2026-10-03 10:22:17 DRAW · 배당 3.85 · 변동 +0.12% · 2026-10-03 10:22:18 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 10:52:18 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 11:22:18 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 11:52:19 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 12:22:21 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 12:52:16 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 13:22:19 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 13:52:18 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 14:22:17 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 14:52:20 DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 15:32:20 AWAY · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:14 AWAY · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:14 AWAY · 배당 1.80 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:24 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 01:42:15 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 02:12:15 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 02:42:16 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 03:12:15 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 03:42:15 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 04:12:14 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 04:42:16 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 05:12:16 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 05:42:16 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-03 06:12:15 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.06% · 2026-10-03 09:22:17 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.06% · 2026-10-03 09:52:17 AWAY · 배당 1.80 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-10-03 10:22:17 AWAY · 배당 1.81 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-10-03 10:22:18 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 10:52:18 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 11:22:18 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 11:52:19 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 12:22:21 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 12:52:16 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 13:22:19 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 13:52:18 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 14:22:17 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 14:52:20 AWAY · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-10-03 15:32:20
HOME27 SNAPSHOTS
+5.88%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW27 SNAPSHOTS
+0.72%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY27 SNAPSHOTS
-1.66%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-10-03 00:02:14 4.01 3.85 1.80 2026-10-03 00:42:14 4.01 3.85 1.80 2026-10-03 01:12:24 4.01 3.85 1.80 2026-10-03 01:42:15 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 02:12:15 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 02:42:16 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 03:12:15 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 03:42:15 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 04:12:14 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 04:42:16 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 05:12:16 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 05:42:16 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 06:12:15 4.01 3.86 1.81 2026-10-03 09:22:17 4.07 3.87 1.81 2026-10-03 09:52:17 4.07 3.87 1.81 2026-10-03 10:22:17 4.04 3.90 1.80 2026-10-03 10:22:18 4.08 3.85 1.81 2026-10-03 10:52:18 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 11:22:18 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 11:52:19 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 12:22:21 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 12:52:16 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 13:22:19 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 13:52:18 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 14:22:17 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 14:52:20 4.24 3.87 1.77 2026-10-03 15:32:20 4.24 3.87 1.77
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.10.04 Croatia 0 : 7 England 2026.06.18 England 4 : 2 Croatia